Stocks were lower on Friday as some downbeat economic data weighed on the overall market while shares of JPMorgan (JPM) rose more than 6% following a strong quarterly report. Economic data also had markets moving early Friday with the preliminary look at consumer sentiment in April from the University of Michigan signaling an uptick in consumer inflation expectations, which investors took as a sign the Federal Reserve will need to remain vigilant in keeping interest rates elevated. Consumer expectations for price increases over the next year rose to 4.6% from 3.6% last month, the report showed. Stocks forfeited modest gains following these headlines. The Associated Press has the story:
Stocks slip; Rate fears overshadow bank profits
Newslooks- NEW YORK (AP)
Stocks are slipping Friday as a swirl of competing forces spins Wall Street, from strong profits for financial giants to worries about interest rates and the economy’s strength.
The S&P 500 was 0.5% lower in midday trading after giving up an early morning gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 208 points, or 0.6%, at 33,821, as of 11:45 a.m. Eastern time, while the Nasdaq composite was 0.7% lower.
Stocks are still on track for a weekly gain, built in part on hopes the Federal Reserve may soon end its barrage of rate hikes as inflation cools. High interest rates can stifle inflation but only by hurting the economy, raising the risk of a recession and dragging on prices for investments.
A top Fed official dampened those hopes Friday after saying inflation remains far too high and more hikes to interest rates may be needed. Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed’s governing board, also said that even after hikes end, rates will likely need to stay high for longer than markets expect.
After his comments, traders built bets that the Fed will raise rates at its next meeting in May, instead of taking its first pause in more than a year. Some even began betting the Fed may hike rates again in June, according to data from CME Group.
High-growth stocks tend to be among the most hurt by high rates, and several Big Tech stocks were among the heaviest weights on the S&P 500. Microsoft fell 1.2%.
Swaths of the economy have already begun slowing under the weight of higher interest rates, raising worries that a recession may be likely. A report on Friday showed U.S. shoppers cut their spending at retailers by more last month than expected. Much of that was due to falling gasoline prices, and the drop for what economists call “core retail sales” wasn’t as bad as forecast.
“The Fed’s challenge has been to cool inflation without putting the economy into a deep freeze in the process,” said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office. “The dynamic is still playing out in the markets, and we could see more choppy price action as a result.”
Potentially making things more difficult for the Fed was another report Friday that said U.S. households are girding for higher inflation. Consumers are expecting inflation over the next year of 4.6%, up from expectations for 3.6% a month earlier, according to a preliminary survey by the University of Michigan.
That could be troublesome, as the Fed has long feared entrenched expectations of high inflation could lead to a vicious cycle that keeps it high. Longer-term expectations for inflation, though, remain stable and clocked in at 2.9% for a fifth straight month, according to the survey.
All the worries helped push Treasury yields higher. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 3.51% from 3.45% late Thursday. It helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans.
The two-year yield, which moves more on expectations for the Fed, rose to 4.11% from 3.97%.
Helping to offset some of the worries were big gains by several of the nation’s biggest banks. They reported profits for the first three months of the year that blew past expectations.
They helped kick off the reporting season for big U.S. companies, where expectations are mostly dismal. Despite such worries, JPMorgan jumped 7.1% after its profit surged by more than half from a year earlier.
It benefited from the strains unearthed in the banking system last month that shook global markets. Those worries pushed some customers to pull cash from smaller banks and move it to bigger ones.
Citigroup rose 2.9% after it also reported stronger profit than expected. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, rose 3.3% after its earnings likewise topped forecasts.
Boeing was one of the heaviest weights on Wall Street. Its stock slid 5.8% after the aircraft maker said Thursday that production and delivery of a “significant number” of its 737 Max planes could be delayed because of questions about a supplier’s work on the fuselages.
Boeing said the supplier, Spirit AeroSystems, used a “non-standard manufacturing process” during installation of fittings near the rear of some 737s. Boeing said the situation is not an immediate safety issue and planes already flying “can continue operating safely.”
