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Exit poll: Dutch anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders wins most votes with a landslide margin

The far-right and anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders was headed for a landslide parliamentary election victory Wednesday in one of the biggest political upsets in Dutch politics since World War II, and one that is bound to send shockwaves through Europe.

Quick Read

  1. Landslide Victory: Geert Wilders, known for his far-right and anti-Islam stance, achieved a significant win in the Dutch parliamentary elections, marking a major political upset in the Netherlands since World War II.
  2. Party for Freedom’s Success: Wilders’ Party for Freedom won 35 seats in the 150-seat lower house, more than doubling its previous count of 17 seats.
  3. Potential to Lead Government: This result puts Wilders in a position to potentially become the Netherlands’ prime minister, leading coalition formation talks.
  4. Impact on European Politics: Wilders’ victory is expected to send shockwaves throughout Europe, especially during a time of political changes across the continent.
  5. Election Promises: Wilders’ campaign included calls for a referendum on the Netherlands leaving the EU, stopping asylum-seekers, migrant pushbacks, and advocating the “de-Islamization” of the Netherlands.
  6. Coalition Challenges: Forming a coalition government may be challenging due to mainstream parties’ reluctance to align with Wilders, despite his electoral strength.
  7. Softening of Stance: During his campaign, Wilders appeared to soften his rhetoric, positioning himself as a prime minister for all Dutch citizens.
  8. Comparison with Italian Premier: Wilders’ victory follows the electoral success of Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni, another far-right leader who has since moderated some of her stances.
  9. Exit Poll Accuracy: The exit poll, as reported by Ipsos, is generally accurate but can have a margin of error of up to three seats.
  10. Background of Election: The election was called after the resignation of the coalition government led by outgoing Prime Minister Mark Rutte, who was replaced by Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius.
  11. Yeşilgöz-Zegerius’ Position: Yeşilgöz-Zegerius, a former refugee from Turkey, could have become the Netherlands’ first female prime minister but her party lost seats in the election.
  12. European Political Shifts: The Dutch election result adds to the changing political landscape in Europe, where populist and hard-right parties have seen varying levels of success.

The Associated Press has the story:

Exit poll: Dutch anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders wins most votes with a landslide margin

Newslooks- THE HAGUE, Netherlands (AP)

The far-right and anti-Islam populist Geert Wilders was headed for a landslide parliamentary election victory Wednesday in one of the biggest political upsets in Dutch politics since World War II, and one that is bound to send shockwaves through Europe.

The result puts him in line to lead talks to form a new ruling coalition and possibly become the country’s prime minister at a time of political upheaval through much of Europe.

Geert Wilders, leader of the Party for Freedom, known as PVV, casts his ballot in The Hague, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Mike Corder)

The exit poll published by the national broadcaster NOS said that Wilders’ Party for Freedom won 35 seats in the 150-seat lower house of parliament, more than double the 17 he won at the last election.

“I had to pinch my arm,” he said.

Geert Wilders, leader of the Party for Freedom, known as PVV, speaks to media after casting his ballot in The Hague, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Mike Corder)

“Voters said ‘we are sick of it. Sick to our stomachs’,” a jubilant Wilders said, adding he was now on a mission to end the “asylum tsunami” referring to the migration issue that came to dominate the campaign.

Dilan Yesilgoz-Zegerius, leader of the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy, known by Dutch acronym VVD, crosses her fingers after casting her ballot in Amsterdam, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Patrick Post)

He also called on other parties to constructively engage in coalition talks.

The closest party to Wilders’ Party for Freedom was an alliance of the center-left Labor Party and Green Left, which was forecast to win 26 seats.

Wilders’ election program includes calls for a referendum on the Netherlands leaving the European Union, a total halt to accepting asylum-seekers and migrant pushbacks at the Dutch borders.

Pieter Omtzigt, leader of the recently formed Dutch political party New Social Contract cast his ballot at the Museumfabriek, or Museum Factory, in Enschede, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

It also advocates the “de-Islamization” of the Netherlands, although he has been milder about Islam during this election campaign than in the past.

“The Dutch will be No. 1 again,” Wilders said. “The people must get their nation back.”

People vote at the Anne Frank House museum, in Amsterdam, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Patrick Post)

But the lawmaker, who has in the past been labeled a Dutch version of Donald Trump, first would have to form a coalition government before he can take the reins of power.

That will be tough as mainstream parties are reluctant to join forces with him and his Party for Freedom, but the size of his victory strengthens his hand in any negotiations.

Frans Timmermans, leader of the center-left two party bloc of Labor Party and Green Left, casts his ballot in Maastricht, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Ermindo Armino)

Despite his harsh rhetoric, he was already courting other right parties by saying that whatever he would do, “it would be within the law and constitution.”

Dilan Yesilgoz-Zegerius, leader of the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy, known by Dutch acronym VVD, speaks to media after casting her ballot in Amsterdam, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Patrick Post)

The historic victory came one year after the win of Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni, whose Brothers of Italy’s roots were steeped in nostalgia for fascist dictator Benito Mussolini. Meloni has since mellowed her stance on several issues and, as Italy’s premier, has become the acceptable face of the hard right in the EU.

Pieter Omtzigt, leader of the recently formed Dutch political party New Social Contract wipes his face after casting his ballot at the Museumfabriek, or Museum Factory, in Enschede, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

Wilders was long a firebrand lashing out at Islam, at the EU and migrants — a stance which brought him close to power, but never in power in a nation known for compromise politics.

During the final weeks of his campaign, he softened his stance, vowed that he would be a prime minister for all Dutch people, so much so that he gained the moniker Geert “Milders.”

A woman looks at her ballot at the Rijksmuseum Twenthe museum, which offers a free entrance to those who want to vote in Enschede, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

The exit poll was published as voting ended in the general election. It can have a margin of error of up to three seats, but generally is accurate within one or two seats, Ipsos said.

The election was called after the fourth and final coalition of outgoing Prime Minister Mark Rutte resigned in July after failing to agree to measures to rein in migration.

People cast their ballots at the De Duif church, in Amsterdam, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Patrick Post)

Rutte was replaced by Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius, a former refugee from Turkey who could have become the country’s first female prime minister had her party won the most votes. Instead, it was forecast to lose 11 seats to end up with 23.

The election had been called a neck-and-neck race, but in the end Wilders handily beat all opponents.

Frans Timmermans, right, leader of the center-left two party bloc of Labor Party and Green Left, walks to the voting station in Maastricht, Netherlands, Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2023. Dutch voters cast ballots in a general election that will usher in a new prime minister for the first time in 13 years, with the rising cost of living and migration topping electoral concerns in a country that plays an important role in EU affairs and global trade and tourism.(AP Photo/Ermindo Armino)

The result is the latest in a series of elections that is altering the European political landscape.

From Slovakia and Spain, to Germany and Poland, populist and hard-right parties triumphed in some EU member nations and faltered in others.

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