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Wall Street drifts as it waits to hear from the Federal Reserve on rates

U.S. stocks are drifting Wednesday as Wall Street waits to hear from the Federal Reserve about where interest rates may be heading. The S&P 500 was down 0.1% in early trading, coming off its first losing month in the last six. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 104 points, or 0.3%, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.2% lower.

Quick Read

  • Current Market Trends: The S&P 500 saw a slight decline of 0.1% in early trading, whereas the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a slight increase, rising 104 points, or 0.3%. Conversely, the Nasdaq composite dropped by 0.2%.
  • Key Corporate Influences: Stocks were notably affected by disappointing earnings reports from major companies. CVS Health’s shares plunged 18.3% after it reported lower-than-expected quarterly results and downgraded its full-year profit forecast, primarily due to rising costs in its Medicare Advantage segment. Similarly, Starbucks saw a 15% decline after its earnings and revenue fell short of expectations, particularly due to weaker sales trends outside the U.S.
  • Federal Reserve’s Anticipated Announcement: The primary focus for the market is the upcoming announcement from the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C. about interest rates. Although no changes to the main interest rate are expected, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference could provide crucial insights into the Fed’s future rate decisions, particularly the potential for rate cuts later in the year.
  • Investor Sentiment and Rate Expectations: Initial hopes for multiple rate cuts have been tempered by persistent inflation rates and recent hints from Powell suggesting that rates might remain elevated longer than previously anticipated to ensure inflation targets are met.
  • Sector-Specific Impacts and Other Stock Movements: Other significant stock movements include a 12.2% drop in Super Micro Computer despite surpassing profit expectations, as it missed revenue forecasts. Advanced Micro Devices fell 6.8% after its revenue and forward guidance slightly missed projections. In contrast, Amazon rose 2.9% after reporting stronger-than-expected profits, benefiting from growth in its cloud-computing business.
  • Broader Economic Context: These developments occur amidst a backdrop of relatively high Treasury yields, with the two-year yield remaining around 5.00%, reflecting heightened investor caution and attention to the Fed’s strategies for managing inflation and economic growth.

The Associated Press has the story:

Wall Street drifts as it waits to hear from the Federal Reserve on rates

Newslooks- NEW YORK (AP) —

U.S. stocks are drifting Wednesday as Wall Street waits to hear from the Federal Reserve about where interest rates may be heading.

The S&P 500 was down 0.1% in early trading, coming off its first losing month in the last six. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 104 points, or 0.3%, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.2% lower.

CVS Health tumbled 18.3% after reporting weaker results for the latest quarter than analysts expected. It said it’s been hurt by increased costs at its Medicare Advantage business, and it cut its forecast for profit over the full year.

Other big names also dragged on the market following their profit reports, including Starbucks, Advanced Micro Devices and Super Micro Computer. But the focus is on Washington, D.C., where the Federal Reserve will announce its latest move on interest rates in the afternoon.

No one expects the Fed to make any change to its main interest rate, which is sitting at its highest level in 2001 in hopes of grinding down on the economy enough to get inflation under control. But Fed Chair Jerome Powell will give a press conference after the rate announcement, and he could give some guidance about the chances for a cut to rates later this year.

He recently hinted rates may stay high for a while as Fed officials wait for more confirmation inflation is heading down toward their 2% target. That was a disappointment for Wall Street, after the Fed earlier had indicated it was penciling in three cuts to rates during 2024.

Traders had been even more optimistic after coming into the year forecasting six or more cuts to rates. Now, many are betting on the possibility of just one, if any, according to data from CME Group. A string of reports on inflation this year that have come in stubbornly higher than forecast has dashed hopes for multiple rate cuts.

Without the benefit of easing rates, which can goose the economy and investment prices, companies will need to deliver better profits.

Starbucks dropped 15% after falling short of expectations for both profit and revenue in the latest quarter. Sales trends weakened at its stores outside the United States in particular, and it cut its full-year forecasts for profit and revenue.

Super Micro Computer, which has been one of Wall Street’s hottest stars, gave back 12.2% despite topping expectations for profit. The company, which sells server and storage systems used in AI and other computing, fell shy of analysts’ forecasts for revenue. Expectations had bult up after its stock had already tripled this year amid a broader frenzy on Wall Street around artificial-intelligence technology.

Advanced Micro Devices dropped 6.8% despite reporting profit that matched expectations. Its revenue came in a bit shy of forecasts, as did the midpoint of its forecasted range for revenue in the current quarter.

They helped to offset a 2.9% gain for Amazon, which reported stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. The retail behemoth credited reaccelerating growth at its cloud-computing business, in part, as it benefits from demand for AI.

Chemical producer DuPont was another winner, up 8.1%, after reporting stronger profit than expected. It said demand from customers in the semiconductor industry continued to recover.

In the bond market, Treasury yields eased a bit ahead of the Fed’s announcement. The yield on the two-year Treasury, though, remained at 5.00% and near its highest level since November. It was at 5.04% late Tuesday.

The 10-year yield slipped to 4.64% from 4.68%.

In stock markets abroad, many exchanges were shut for holidays. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.3%, and London’s FTSE 100 was virtually unchanged.

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