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Syrian Rebels Advance as Assad Defends Homs and Damascus

Syrian conflict/ Homs battle/ Assad regime/ rebel offensive/ Syria civil war/ regional instability/ Newslooks/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ Syrian rebels have launched a rapid offensive, seizing much of the country’s south and advancing on Homs, a strategic crossroads. Government forces are scrambling to defend the city as pressure mounts on President Bashar al-Assad’s 24-year rule. Regional powers, including Russia, Iran, and Turkey, are meeting to address the escalating conflict, which threatens further instability in the region.

Syrian opposition fighters ride along the streets in the aftermath of the opposition’s takeover of Hama, Syria, Friday, Dec. 6, 2024. (AP Photo/Ghaith Alsayed)

Syrian Rebels Push Forward: Quick Looks

  • Rebel Gains: Insurgents capture southern cities and close in on Homs and Damascus.
  • Homs Defense: Assad’s forces redeploy to fortify the central city, vital for connecting Damascus and the coast.
  • International Reactions: Iran, Russia, and Turkey discuss the crisis in Doha.
  • Strategic Losses: Key government territories in Deir el-Zor and Quneitra fall to rebel forces.
  • Regional Concerns: Neighboring nations fear renewed instability and humanitarian crises.

Syrian Rebels Advance as Assad Defends Homs and Damascus

Deep Look

Rebels Expand Control Across Syria

Syrian rebels have accelerated their offensive, capturing several major cities and cutting deep into government-controlled territories. In just one week, the insurgents seized Aleppo in the north, Hama in the center, Deir el-Zor in the east, and several provinces in the south, including Deraa, Suweida, and Quneitra. With these gains, rebels are now within 30 miles of Damascus, escalating threats to President Bashar al-Assad’s rule.

The offensive marks a dramatic resurgence for the rebel movement, which had appeared subdued in recent years. Now, with swift territorial gains and coordinated assaults, they have forced Assad’s forces into defensive positions around key strongholds such as Homs and Damascus.


Homs: The Critical Battleground

Homs has become a focal point of the conflict, serving as a vital link between Damascus and Assad’s Alawite coastal strongholds, including Tartus and Latakia. Losing the city would sever the government’s access to the coast and its Russian allies’ naval and air bases, a crippling blow to Assad’s regime.

Rebels claim they have reached Homs’ northern outskirts, capturing villages and issuing calls for pro-Assad forces to defect. Meanwhile, government forces are digging in, with reinforcements arriving from Palmyra and heavy airstrikes targeting rebel positions.

Inside Homs, residents report rising tension, with checkpoints multiplying and pro-Assad militias issuing warnings to avoid unrest.

“They are trying to send a message that Homs won’t fall easily,” one resident said.


Regional Powers Respond

The conflict’s escalation has drawn international attention. Iran, Russia, and Turkey, key players in the Syrian war, convened in Doha to discuss de-escalation. While Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov reaffirmed Moscow’s support for Assad, he emphasized the need for dialogue with the opposition.

Iran, long a critical ally of Assad, has placed militias on high alert, ready to reinforce the Syrian military. However, Tehran faces challenges, with Hezbollah’s forces weakened after losses in a recent war with Israel.

Turkey, a primary supporter of the rebels, has urged an immediate ceasefire, though analysts question whether its backing emboldened the insurgents’ advance.


Rebel Coordination and Strategic Advances

The rebel coalition, including factions like Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, has demonstrated remarkable coordination in its assault. After capturing Deraa and Suweida, they extended their grip to Quneitra, advancing closer to Damascus and consolidating control over the southwest.

The loss of Deraa is particularly symbolic, as it was the birthplace of the 2011 uprising against Assad. Meanwhile, in the east, Kurdish-led forces, backed by the U.S., have taken Deir el-Zor, jeopardizing Assad’s land connection to Iranian allies in Iraq.


Government Struggles and Possible Outcomes

The rapid pace of the rebel advance has overwhelmed government defenses, with Western officials noting the Syrian military’s difficulty in regrouping. Assad has relied heavily on external allies—primarily Russia and Iran—but their ability to provide significant reinforcements is limited by other commitments and losses.

Analysts suggest that Homs’ fall could mark a turning point.

“Losing Homs would isolate Damascus from the coast and weaken Assad’s strategic position significantly,” said Jonathan Landis, a Syria expert at the University of Oklahoma.

The rebellion’s resurgence also raises concerns about chemical weapons, which were used earlier in the conflict. British officials warned that any indication of their use would be intolerable and trigger international action.


Broader Implications

The conflict’s renewal threatens to destabilize the region further. Neighboring countries, including Jordan and Lebanon, fear another wave of refugees, while Qatar expressed concerns over Syria’s territorial integrity.

Additionally, the instability may embolden extremist groups, creating new security risks for Western and regional powers alike.


What’s Next?

The coming weeks will be critical as both sides prepare for decisive battles. For the rebels, maintaining momentum and capitalizing on Assad’s weaknesses will be key. For the government, holding Homs and preventing further encroachments on Damascus is essential to preserving the regime.

Meanwhile, the international community’s response could shape the conflict’s trajectory, as key powers weigh intervention or mediation in the face of growing chaos.

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