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Syria After Assad: How a Dynasty Collapsed After 13 Years of War

Assad falls/ Syria civil war/ Damascus captured/ Syria after Assad/ Arab Spring/ Syrian rebel offensive/ Newslooks/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ Bashar Assad fled Syria on Sunday, marking the end of his 23-year rule and the Assad family’s five-decade grip on the country. Initially viewed as a potential reformer, Assad’s brutal response to the 2011 Arab Spring protests led to a devastating civil war that killed nearly 500,000 people and displaced millions. Despite regaining much of Syria with backing from Russia and Iran, a sudden rebel offensive toppled his government, leaving Syria at a crossroads.

FILE – President-elect Lt. Gen. Bashar al Assad, right, attends military training games with Ali Aslan, Chief of Staff of the Syrian army, July 12, 2000, in Syria. (SANA via AP, File)

The Fall of Assad: Quick Looks

  • Assad Flees: The president fled Syria following a swift rebel offensive that captured Damascus.
  • Family Legacy Ends: Assad’s fall concludes 50 years of rule by the Assad family.
  • War’s Devastation: The civil war displaced half of Syria’s population and devastated its infrastructure.
  • Reform Promises Broken: Assad’s early reforms gave way to authoritarianism and brutal crackdowns.
  • What’s Next for Syria: Rebel leaders face challenges in uniting Syria’s diverse factions.

Syria After Assad: How a Dynasty Collapsed After 13 Years of War

Deep Look

A Dramatic Fall After Five Decades

Bashar Assad’s departure from Syria closes a tumultuous chapter in the nation’s history. His family rose to power in 1970 when his father, Hafez Assad, seized control. For years, the Assads maintained a stronghold through authoritarian rule, suppressing dissent and cultivating a network of allies, including Iran and Russia.

Bashar, initially seen as a modernizing reformer, quickly reverted to authoritarian tactics. The Arab Spring protests of 2011 marked a turning point, with Assad responding with brutal force. Over 13 years, the uprising escalated into a civil war that fragmented the country and turned Syria into a battleground for international powers.


A Rise Filled With Contradictions

When Assad assumed power in 2000, he was seen as a contrast to his strongman father. A Western-educated ophthalmologist, Assad married British-born Asma al-Akhras and briefly allowed intellectual salons and political discourse in what was called the “Damascus Spring.”

However, he quickly clamped down on dissent, using security forces to suppress opposition. Economic reforms created a new middle class but also widened the gap between elites and ordinary citizens. Syria’s centralized power structure became a family affair, with Assad’s relatives holding key positions in the government and military.


Arab Spring and the Descent Into War

The wave of Arab Spring protests reached Syria in 2011, and Assad underestimated the scope of popular discontent. His government’s violent crackdown led to a full-scale civil war, dividing the country into government-held areas, rebel-controlled regions, and Kurdish autonomous zones.

Despite widespread condemnation, Assad held on to power with the help of Russian airstrikes and Iranian-backed militias. By 2020, he controlled most of Syria, though large portions in the north remained under opposition or Kurdish control.


Geopolitical Shifts Led to Assad’s Downfall

In late November 2024, a sudden rebel offensive overturned years of stalemate. Backed by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), opposition forces rapidly captured major cities, including Aleppo, Homs, and Damascus. Assad’s allies, distracted by other conflicts—such as Russia’s war in Ukraine and Iran’s tensions with Israel—offered little resistance.

By December 8, Assad fled Damascus, leaving his government in collapse. His departure marks a significant loss for Iran and Russia, which invested heavily in propping up his regime.


A Nation in Ruins

The civil war displaced half of Syria’s 23 million prewar population, with millions fleeing to neighboring countries or Europe. Infrastructure across the country lies in ruins, and rebuilding efforts will require significant international cooperation.

Rebel leaders now face the daunting task of uniting Syria’s diverse population while addressing decades of repression and sectarian divisions.


What Lies Ahead?

Syria’s future hinges on the ability of its new leadership to stabilize the country and manage foreign influence. The United Nations has called for immediate talks to establish a transitional government. Rebel leaders, including HTS’s Abu Mohammed al-Golani, have pledged to create a pluralistic and inclusive Syria, but skepticism remains about their intentions.

As the Assad era comes to a close, Syria faces enormous challenges in rebuilding and reconciling after nearly 14 years of devastating war.

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