Trade War on Hold? Trump Softens Approach to China in Second Term/ Newslooks/ WASHINGTON/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ After campaigning on tough tariffs and renewed trade pressure on China, President Donald Trump is signaling a more measured approach as his second term begins. While Trump promised tariffs of up to 60% on Chinese imports during his campaign, he has yet to set a firm date, instead proposing a lower 10% tariff on specific goods tied to fentanyl production. His recent remarks at the World Economic Forum suggested he may seek cooperation with China on global issues. Meanwhile, new Secretary of State Marco Rubio is taking a firm stance against Beijing, signaling continued tensions in U.S.-China relations.
Trump Softens Stance on China: Quick Looks
- Tariffs in Limbo: Trump has yet to implement promised 60% tariffs on China but has proposed a lower 10% tax on specific imports.
- Diplomatic Shift: At Davos, Trump signaled interest in working with China on Ukraine and nuclear arms control.
- Rubio’s Tough Rhetoric: New Secretary of State Marco Rubio calls China the most dangerous U.S. adversary but agrees diplomacy is necessary.
- Congressional Concerns: Lawmakers worry Trump may ease pressure on China, urging stricter trade policies.
- Beijing’s Strategy: China sees Trump as transactional, preferring direct engagement while preparing countermeasures if tensions escalate.
Trade War on Hold? Trump Softens Approach to China in Second Term
Trump Adopts Cautious Approach to China as Second Term Begins
Campaign Promises vs. White House Reality
During his 2024 re-election campaign, Trump took a hardline stance on China, vowing to impose tariffs as high as 60% and threatening to renew the trade war from his first term. However, since returning to the White House, he has shown restraint, acknowledging the complex relationship between the U.S. and China.
Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump struck a conciliatory tone, suggesting China could play a role in resolving global conflicts, including the war in Ukraine.
“We look forward to doing very well with China and getting along with China,” Trump said.
While he has moved forward with 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, he has not set a firm date for new tariffs on Chinese goods, only reiterating a 10% tax on imports tied to fentanyl production.
China Seeks Diplomatic Openings
Beijing has taken note of Trump’s softer approach, recognizing that he often prefers direct negotiations over broad policy moves. Chinese officials believe they may be able to work with Trump, despite his often unpredictable style.
Da Wei, a leading expert at Tsinghua University in Beijing, called Trump’s shift in tone “encouraging”, though he acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding U.S.-China relations.
“The two presidents can have a good starting point,” Da said. “But then we need to set up mechanisms to let cabinet-level members talk to each other.”
To open diplomatic channels, China sent a special envoy to Trump’s inauguration, signaling its willingness to restart talks.
Rubio Takes Hardline Approach as Secretary of State
While Trump’s personal stance on China appears to be more flexible, his new Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, is taking a much harder stance.
During his confirmation hearing, Rubio stated that China had “lied, cheated, hacked, and stolen” its way to global dominance, calling it the “most potent and dangerous near-peer adversary” the U.S. has faced.
Despite this, Rubio acknowledged that engaging with China is necessary for global stability. Hours after being sworn in, he met with foreign ministers from Australia, Japan, and India, reaffirming the U.S. commitment to countering Chinese influence in the Indo-Pacific.
Rubio’s first direct conversation with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi was tense, with Wang issuing a veiled warning for the new Secretary of State to “act accordingly.”
Congress Pressures Trump to Stay Tough on China
Many lawmakers, including Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-CT), have urged Trump not to back down from his hardline trade stance on China.
DeLauro called on Trump to act on:
- Closing tariff loopholes on low-value Chinese imports.
- Regulating outbound U.S. investments in Chinese industries.
- Strengthening domestic manufacturing policies to compete with China.
Beijing’s Strategy: Diplomatic Openings & Economic Leverage
China is keeping its options open, hoping to engage Trump directly rather than rely on U.S. officials with competing viewpoints.
At the same time, Beijing has prepared countermeasures if tensions escalate, including:
- Tariffs on U.S. goods
- Import/export restrictions targeting American businesses
- Economic sanctions against U.S. officials and companies
Final Thoughts: Trump’s China Policy Remains in Flux
While Trump campaigned on an aggressive China policy, his actions since taking office suggest a more cautious approach. With ongoing negotiations, a new diplomatic team, and pressure from both Congress and Beijing, the future of U.S.-China relations remains uncertain.
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