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Unemployment Benefits Steady as Federal Layoffs Loom

Unemployment Benefits Steady as Federal Layoffs Loom/ Newslooks/ WASHINGTON/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ U.S. jobless claims dipped slightly to 224,000 last week, signaling ongoing labor market strength. Federal layoffs initiated by the DOGE program may not impact data until April. Despite minor workforce reductions, hiring remains solid and layoffs relatively low nationwide.

Jobless claims edge lower, Fed seeks to cool labor market
FILE – A hiring sign is displayed at a restaurant in Schaumburg, Ill., Friday, April 1, 2022. More Americans applied for jobless benefits last week, reported Thursday, Aug. 4, 2022, as the number of unemployed continues to rise modestly, though the labor market remains one of the strongest parts of the U.S. economy. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh, File)

U.S. Jobless Claims Remain Stable Quick Looks

  • Weekly unemployment benefit claims dropped slightly to 224,000
  • Numbers align with analyst expectations and show labor market resilience
  • Federal layoffs via DOGE not yet reflected in data
  • February jobs report showed 151,000 added jobs, 4.1% unemployment
  • Major companies continue trimming workforce amid broader market strength
  • Total unemployment benefit recipients declined to 1.86 million

Unemployment Benefits Steady as Federal Layoffs Loom

Deep Look

U.S. applications for unemployment benefits remained largely unchanged last week, a fresh indication that the labor market continues to show resilience, despite looming federal workforce cuts and isolated corporate layoffs.

For the week ending March 22, initial claims for jobless benefits dropped by 1,000 to a total of 224,000, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. This figure closely aligns with analyst predictions of 225,000 and falls within the stable 200,000 to 250,000 range observed over the past few years.

These weekly filings are widely seen as a gauge of layoffs, offering insight into how secure American jobs are week-to-week. The current consistency suggests that most employers are maintaining staff levels, even amid economic uncertainty and political transition.

However, uncertainty remains around when the federal layoffs ordered by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will begin appearing in the data. Spearheaded by billionaire Elon Musk and backed by the Trump administration, DOGE represents a sweeping initiative to downsize the federal government.

A February jobs report already revealed that 10,000 federal positions were cut—the largest reduction since June 2022—but economists predict that the full impact of this program won’t be visible until the March report, due April 4.

DOGE was activated through a late-February memo expanding President Trump’s federal workforce reduction plan. Thousands of probationary employees were let go initially, though two federal court rulings have recently ordered that many of them be reinstated.

Despite such disruptions, the broader labor market remains healthy. February saw 151,000 new jobs created and a slight increase in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, which still sits within a historically favorable range.

While some high-profile employers—including Meta (Facebook’s parent company), Starbucks, Dow, Workday, CNN, and Southwest Airlines—have announced layoffs in 2025, these cuts haven’t significantly skewed the overall jobless claims data.

To smooth out volatility, the Labor Department calculates a four-week average of jobless claims, which dropped by 4,750 to match the weekly figure of 224,000. This further illustrates a steady employment environment.

Finally, the number of Americans currently receiving unemployment aid fell by 25,000 to 1.86 million for the week ending March 15, suggesting that even those who are laid off are finding new work relatively quickly.

As federal downsizing efforts continue and economic uncertainty lingers, labor market observers will closely watch coming reports, especially the anticipated March jobs data, to gauge the true impact of policy shifts and employer trends.

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