While Joe Biden and Donald Trump are marching steadily toward their respective presidential nominations, Michigan’s primary on Tuesday could reveal significant political perils for both of them. Michigan has the largest concentration of Arab Americans in the nation. More than 310,000 residents are of Middle Eastern or North African ancestry. Nearly half of Dearborn’s roughly 110,000 residents claim Arab ancestry. It has become the epicenter of Democratic discontent with the White House’s actions in the Israel-Hamas war, now nearly five months old, following Hamas’ deadly Oct. 7 attack and kidnapping of more than 200 hostages. Israel has bombarded much of Gaza in response, killing nearly 30,000 people, two-thirds of them women and children, according to Palestinian figures. Democrats angry that Biden has supported Israel’s offensive and resisted calls for a cease-fire are rallying voters on Tuesday to instead select “uncommitted.” Abbas Alawieh, spokesperson for the Listen to Michigan campaign pushing voters to select “uncommitted,” said the effort is a “way for us to vote for a ceasefire, a way for us to vote for peace and a way for us to vote against war.” “I’m not voting for Trump because I want Trump. I just don’t want Biden,” Abdulrab said. “He (Biden) didn’t call to stop the war in Gaza.”
Quick Read
- Joe Biden and Donald Trump are making strong strides toward securing their respective parties’ nominations for the presidential race.
- Despite Trump’s strong performance in the Republican primaries, a notable segment of GOP voters remains resistant, favoring Nikki Haley and expressing doubts about Trump’s competitiveness against Biden in a potential rematch.
- Biden faces challenges from a movement of voters disillusioned by his approach to the war in Gaza and his perceived overly supportive stance toward Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
- The Michigan primary, crucial for its timing before Super Tuesday and its role as a key swing state, will test the political vulnerabilities of both Biden and Trump. Michigan’s results, particularly the margins, could indicate potential weaknesses for both candidates in a state that Biden narrowly won in the previous election.
- Michigan, with its significant Arab American population, particularly in Dearborn, has become a focal point for Democratic dissatisfaction with Biden’s handling of the Gaza conflict. This discontent has spurred a movement to vote “uncommitted” as a protest against Biden’s policies.
- The “uncommitted” campaign in Michigan, supported by figures like Rep. Rashida Tlaib and former Rep. Andy Levin, aims to voice opposition to Biden’s support for Israel’s military actions in Gaza and to advocate for a ceasefire and peace.
- Some Arab American voters, like engineer Shaher Abdulrab, express a preference for Trump over Biden, citing disillusionment with Biden’s foreign policy decisions.
- The “uncommitted” effort seeks to demonstrate its influence by mobilizing a significant number of votes, potentially affecting the election outcome and sending a message about voter discontent with Biden’s stance on Gaza.
- Progressive organizations and figures, such as Our Revolution and Rep. Ro Khanna, encourage voting “uncommitted” to urge Biden to change his approach to the Gaza conflict, emphasizing the importance of engaging with and regaining the trust of these voters.
- Trump’s campaign rallies continue to draw significant crowds, but challenges remain in appealing to a broader and more diverse electorate beyond his core base, as well as overcoming internal divisions within the Michigan GOP.
- Both Biden and Trump have dominated their primary contests so far, but the Michigan primary and subsequent Super Tuesday will be critical in solidifying their positions and addressing any emerging vulnerabilities.
The Associated Press has the story:
Biden & Trump are marching toward their nominations. But Michigan could reveal significant perils
Newslooks- WASHINGTON (AP) —
While Joe Biden and Donald Trump are marching steadily toward their respective presidential nominations, Michigan’s primary on Tuesday could reveal significant political perils for both of them.
Trump, despite his undoubted dominance of the Republican contests this year, is facing a bloc of stubbornly persistent GOP voters who favor his lone remaining rival, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, and who are skeptical at best about the former president’s prospects in a rematch against Biden.
As for the incumbent president, Biden is confronting perhaps his most potent electoral obstacle yet: an energized movement of disillusioned voters upset with his handling of the war in Gaza and a relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that critics say has been too supportive.
Those dynamics will be put to the test in Michigan, the last major primary state before Super Tuesday and a critical swing state in November’s general election. Even if they post dominant victories as expected on Tuesday, both campaigns will be looking at the margins for signs of weakness in a state that went for Biden by just 3 percentage points last time.
Biden said in a local Michigan radio interview Monday that it would be “one of the five states” that would determine the winner in November.
Michigan has the largest concentration of Arab Americans in the nation. More than 310,000 residents are of Middle Eastern or North African ancestry. Nearly half of Dearborn’s roughly 110,000 residents claim Arab ancestry.
It has become the epicenter of Democratic discontent with the White House’s actions in the Israel-Hamas war, now nearly five months old, following Hamas’ deadly Oct. 7 attack and kidnapping of more than 200 hostages. Israel has bombarded much of Gaza in response, killing nearly 30,000 people, two-thirds of them women and children, according to Palestinian figures.
Democrats angry that Biden has supported Israel’s offensive and resisted calls for a cease-fire are rallying voters on Tuesday to instead select “uncommitted.”
The “uncommitted” effort, which began in earnest just a few weeks ago, has been backed by officials such as Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib, the first Palestinian-American woman in Congress, and former Rep. Andy Levin, who lost a Democratic primary two years ago after pro-Israel groups spent more than $4 million to defeat him.
Abbas Alawieh, spokesperson for the Listen to Michigan campaign pushing voters to select “uncommitted,” said the effort is a “way for us to vote for a ceasefire, a way for us to vote for peace and a way for us to vote against war.”
Shaher Abdulrab, 35, an engineer from Dearborn, said Tuesday morning that he voted for Trump. Abdulrab said he believes Arab Americans have a lot more in common with Republicans than Democrats.
Abdulrab said he voted four years ago for Biden but believes Trump will win the general election in November partly because of the backing he would get from Arab Americans.
“I’m not voting for Trump because I want Trump. I just don’t want Biden,” Abdulrab said. “He (Biden) didn’t call to stop the war in Gaza.”
Trump won the state by just 11,000 votes in 2016 over Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, and then lost the state four years later by nearly 154,000 votes to Biden. Alawieh said the “uncommitted” effort wants to show that they have at least the number of votes that were Trump’s margin of victory in 2016, to demonstrate how influential that bloc can be.
“The situation in Gaza is top of mind for a lot of people here,” Alawieh said. “President Biden is failing to provide voters for whom the war crimes that are being inflicted by our U.S. taxpayer dollars – he’s failing to provide them with something to vote for.”
Our Revolution, the organizing group once tied to Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., has also urged progressive voters to choose “uncommitted” on Tuesday, saying it would send a message to Biden to “change course NOW on Gaza or else risk losing Michigan to Trump in November.”
Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., a Biden backer who held several meetings and listening sessions in Michigan late last week, said he told community members that, despite his disagreements over the war, he would nonetheless support Biden because he represents a much better chance of peace in the Middle East than Trump.
“I also said that I admire those who are using their ballot in a quintessentially American way to bring about a change in policy,” Khanna said Monday, adding that Biden supporters need to proactively engage with the uncommitted voters to try and “earn back their trust.”
“The worst thing we can do is try to shame them or try to downplay their efforts,” he said.
Trump has drawn enthusiastic crowds at most of his rallies, including a Feb. 17 rally outside Detroit drawing more than 2,000 people who packed into a frigid airplane hangar.
But data from AP VoteCast, a series of surveys of Republican voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, reveals that his core voters so far are overwhelmingly white, mostly older than 50 and generally without a college degree. He will likely have to appeal to a far more diverse group of voters in November. And he has underperformed his statewide results in suburban areas that are critical in states like Michigan.
Several of Trump’s favored picks in Michigan’s 2022 midterm contests lost their campaigns, further underscoring his loss of political influence in the state. Meanwhile, the state GOP has been riven with divisions among various pro-Trump factions, potentially weakening its power at a time when Michigan Republicans are trying to lay the groundwork to defeat Biden this fall.
Both Biden and Trump have so far dominated their respective primary bids. Biden has sailed to wins in South Carolina, Nevada and New Hampshire, with the latter victory coming in through a write-in campaign. Trump has swept all the early state contests and his team is hoping to lock up the delegates needed to secure the Republican nomination by mid-March.
Nonetheless, an undeterred Haley has promised to continue her longshot presidential primary campaign through at least Super Tuesday on March 5, when 15 states and one territory hold Republican nominating contests.
As Haley stumped across Michigan on Sunday and Monday, voters showing up to her events expressed enthusiasm for her in Tuesday’s primary — even though, given her losses in the year’s first four states, it seemed increasingly likely she wouldn’t win the nomination.
“She seems honorable,” said Rita Lazdins, a retired microbiologist from Grand Haven, Michigan, who in an interview Monday refused to say Trump’s name. “Honorable is not what that other person is. I hate to say that, but it’s so true.”
