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Biden’s challenge lies in reaching voters who have tuned out – Reuters/Ipsos Poll

A majority of Americans agree with President Joe Biden on issues including abortion rights, capping insulin prices and hiking taxes on billionaires, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found, but his campaign faces a tough task in getting angry voters to care. The 81-year-old Democrat’s prospects for re-election have been dragged down by voters’ worries about the state of the economy, concerns about Biden’s age and a general sense that the country is moving in the wrong direction.

Quick Read

  • A majority of Americans agree with President Joe Biden on key issues like abortion rights, insulin price caps, and taxing billionaires, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
  • Biden’s re-election prospects are hindered by economic concerns, his age, and a sense of national misdirection.
  • Former President Donald Trump slightly leads Biden nationally in a head-to-head matchup for the 2024 election.
  • The poll reveals deep voter mistrust towards political opponents and politics in general.
  • Half of the poll respondents agree with a Trump speech line critical of communists, Marxists, fascists, and the radical left, with the number increasing among those aware it’s Trump’s statement.
  • Biden faces the challenge of breaking through voter anger and leveraging the popularity of his agenda.
  • Many voters remain persuadable, with a significant portion undecided or uncommitted to either candidate.
  • Key Biden proposals, such as nationwide abortion legalization, insulin price caps, a billionaire tax, and assault rifle bans, have broad support among respondents.
  • Economic concerns dominate voter priorities, with Trump perceived as having a better approach by some respondents.
  • Trump’s “America First” agenda, including a proposed 10% import tariff, appeals to some, especially on issues of global trade and military interventions.
  • Public support varies on Ukraine aid, with Republican and independent voters more skeptical.
  • Trump’s harsher policies, like the death penalty for drug dealers and leaving NATO, find little favor among respondents.
  • The poll, conducted online with 4,411 adults nationwide, has a credibility interval of about 2 percentage points.

Reuters has the story:

Biden’s challenge lies in reaching voters who have tuned out – Reuters/Ipsos Poll

Newslooks- WASHINGTON, (Reuters)

A majority of Americans agree with President Joe Biden on issues including abortion rights, capping insulin prices and hiking taxes on billionaires, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found, but his campaign faces a tough task in getting angry voters to care.

The 81-year-old Democrat’s prospects for re-election have been dragged down by voters’ worries about the state of the economy, concerns about Biden’s age and a general sense that the country is moving in the wrong direction.

Benefiting from that unease has been Biden’s likely Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump, 77, who has a slight lead over Biden nationally in a head-to-head matchup ahead of the Nov. 5, 2024, election.

In this combination of photos, President Joe Biden speaks on Aug. 10, 2023, in Salt Lake City, left, and former President Donald Trump speaks on June 13, 2023, in Bedminster, N.J. (AP Photo)

Biden’s biggest challenge may be overcoming what the poll, concluded on Monday, showed to be the deep mistrust many voters appear to feel toward their political opponents or even politics in general.

Reuters/Ipsos presented respondents with a line from a recent Trump speech that there are “communists, Marxists, fascists and the radical-left thugs that live like vermin within the confines of our country – that lie and steal and cheat on elections” — without first telling them who said it.

Half of respondents said they agreed with that sentiment, including 71% of Republicans and 37% of Democrats.

The poll then asked respondents if they knew that the line was said by Trump. Among respondents who were aware, 57% agreed, including 84% of Republicans and 38% of Democrats.

U.S. President Joe Biden and Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy hold joint press conference, in Washington
U.S. President Joe Biden attends a joint press conference with Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the White House in Washington, U.S., December 12, 2023.

Rage and grievance are a key driver of Trump’s campaign. A lasting challenge for Biden will be to penetrate this cloud of anger by harnessing the relative popularity of his agenda.

Michael Ceraso, a Democratic strategist who worked for the presidential campaigns of Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders, said the Biden campaign needs to hope that the mood of the electorate shifts to the point where more voters are open to his message.

“There is no way you can reach people when they are frustrated. You have to wait for them to dial it down,” Ceraso said. “Then you hope you can find the thing that moves the voter back into your column.”

There remain plenty of persuadable voters: While the margin between Trump and Biden is small, a quarter of respondents in the poll picked neither candidate, and 15% said they hadn’t made up their mind or might not vote.

President Joe Biden speaks a Hanukkah reception in the East Room of the White House in Washington, Monday, Dec. 11, 2023. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, Pool)

THE BIDEN AGENDA

About half of respondents – including three-quarters of Democrats and a third of Republicans – support passing a law to legalize abortion nationwide, a key plank in Biden’s re-election pitch. Independents favored it by a two-to-one margin.

Bipartisan majorities said they supported capping the price of insulin for all Americans as well as imposing a minimum tax on billionaires – also Biden proposals.

President Joe Biden speaks at a Hanukkah reception in the East Room of the White House in Washington, Monday, Dec. 11, 2023.(Bonnie Cash/Pool via AP)

Legislation passed by Congress and signed by Biden capped out-of-pocket costs on insulin to $35 for recipients of the Medicare federal health plan for the elderly, but Biden wants to extend that cap to apply to all Americans.

A majority of respondents, 55%, backed Biden’s call to ban assault rifles. A third of Republicans and about half of independents said the U.S. should ban assault rifles.

President Joe Biden speaks at the Carpenters International Training Center with union workers Friday, Dec. 8, 2023, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Lucas Peltier)

Biden’s biggest worry continues to be voters’ fears about the economy despite a series of positive indicators that the White House continues to highlight.

Nine out of 10 poll respondents said the economy would be important in determining how they would vote, compared with about two-thirds who cited abortion access or climate change. Some 45% of respondents said Trump had a better approach on the economy, with 33% picking Biden and the rest unsure.

TRUMP TRACK

Trump’s campaign also has an opportunity to connect with undecided voters on his “America First” agenda, which has harnessed dissatisfaction over how the U.S. economy has faired in global trade and decades of military interventions.

Some 37% of respondents favored Trump’s proposed 10% tariff on all imports – significantly higher than the 24% who said they oppose the idea. An even larger share of respondents, 39%, weren’t sure where they stood on the issue.

FILE – President Donald Trump speaks after stepping off Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House, March 24, 2019, in Washington. Federal prosecutors and lawyers for Donald Trump have signaled their desire to invoke the 2016 election in the former president’s trial on charges of scheming to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)

While U.S. public support skews in favor of financial and military aide for Ukraine in its war against Russia, Republicans and independents lean toward Trump’s skepticism over arming Ukraine.

The new Reuters/Ipsos poll showed 38% of independents were against Ukraine aid, with 27% in favor and 35% unsure.

A two-thirds majority, including similar shares of Republicans and Democrats, opposed Trump’s proposal to impose the death penalty on drug dealers.

FILE – Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks to Texas state troopers and guardsmen at the South Texas International Airport, Nov. 19, 2023, in Edinburg, Texas. Trump’s lawyers are arguing that he had a good faith basis to question the outcome of the 2020 election that he lost. A defense motion filed late Monday in federal court in Washington asserts that Trump was not obligated to accept at face value the judgments of government officials who found no widespread fraud in the election. (AP Photo/Eric Gay, File)

There was also little support for Trump’s musings about leaving the NATO alliance, with just 17% of respondents supporting the idea. Just 29% supported a Trump proposal to cease granting U.S. citizenship to all people born in the U.S. regardless of the legal status of their parents.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, surveying 4,411 adults nationwide between Dec. 5 and Dec. 11. It had a credibility interval, a margin of precision, of about 2 percentage points.

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