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Egypt threatens to void its decades-old peace treaty with Israel. What does that mean?

It was a warm handshake between the unlikeliest of statesmen, conducted under the beaming gaze of President Jimmy Carter. Sunlight streamed through the trees at Camp David, Maryland, as Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin solidified a landmark agreement that has allowed over 40 years of peace between Israel and Egypt. It has served as an important source of stability in a volatile region. That peace has held through two Palestinian uprisings and a series of wars between Israel and Hamas. But now, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowing to send Israeli troops into Rafah, a city in Gaza on the border with Egypt, the Egyptian government is threatening to void the agreement.

Quick Read

  • Historic Handshake: The warm handshake between Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin at Camp David, witnessed by President Jimmy Carter, marked the beginning of over 40 years of peace between Israel and Egypt.
  • Treaty’s Genesis: Stemming from 1977 discussions, despite Begin’s initial reluctance, the Camp David Accords of 1978 and the subsequent 1979 peace treaty saw Israel withdraw from the Sinai Peninsula, leading to demilitarization and full diplomatic relations.
  • Egypt’s Current Stance: Amidst Prime Minister Netanyahu’s intentions to send Israeli troops into Rafah, Egypt threatens to suspend the Camp David Accords, citing potential regional instability and humanitarian concerns.
  • Potential Treaty Nullification: Voiding the treaty could lead to military escalations, affecting the tranquility of Israel’s southern border and challenging its military focus. It could also jeopardize U.S. military assistance to Egypt and strain its economy.
  • Regional Implications: Any action that might draw Egypt into the conflict could have catastrophic consequences for the Middle East, underscoring the need for leadership akin to that shown during the original accords.

The Associated Press has the story:

Egypt threatens to void its decades-old peace treaty with Israel. What does that mean?

Newslooks- JERUSALEM (AP) —

It was a warm handshake between the unlikeliest of statesmen, conducted under the beaming gaze of President Jimmy Carter. Sunlight streamed through the trees at Camp David, Maryland, as Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin solidified a landmark agreement that has allowed over 40 years of peace between Israel and Egypt. It has served as an important source of stability in a volatile region.

Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry .

That peace has held through two Palestinian uprisings and a series of wars between Israel and Hamas. But now, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowing to send Israeli troops into Rafah, a city in Gaza on the border with Egypt, the Egyptian government is threatening to void the agreement.

FILE – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a press conference with Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Cabinet Minister Benny Gantz in the Kirya military base in Tel Aviv, Israel, Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023. U.S. and Mideast mediators appeared optimistic in recent days that they are closing in on a deal for a two-month cease-fire in Gaza and the release of over 100 hostages held by Hamas. But on Tuesday, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu rejected the militant group’s two main demands — that Israel withdraw its forces from Gaza and release thousands of Palestinian prisoners — indicating that the gap between the two sides remains wide. (Abir Sultan/Pool Photo via AP, File)

Here’s a look at the history of the treaty and what could happen if it is nullified.

HOW DID THE TREATY ORIGINATE?

It was 1977, and Begin, Israel’s new prime minister, opposed ceding any of the land Israel had conquered a decade earlier in the 1967 Mideast war. Those lands included Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula.

Egypt and Israel had fought four major wars, most recently in 1973. So it shocked the world when Egypt’s Sadat broke with other Arab leaders and decided to engage with the Israelis.

The talks culminated in the Camp David Accords in September 1978 and a peace treaty the following year.

FILE – Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, left, U.S. President Jimmy Carter, center, and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin clasp hands on the North lawn of the White House as they completed signing of the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel in Washington on March, 26, 1979. Egypt has threatened to void its decades-long peace treaty with Israel if Israel begins a large-scale offensive on Rafah, where some 1.4 million Palestinians shelter in densely-packed tent camps on the border with Egypt. (AP Photo/Bob Daugherty, File)

Under the peace treaty, Israel agreed to withdraw from the Sinai, which Egypt would leave demilitarized. Israeli ships were granted passage through the Suez Canal, a key trade route. The countries established full diplomatic relations in Israel’s first peace agreement with an Arab country.

“The Camp David Accords were led by three brave men who took a bold stance because they knew the lasting effects for peace and security, both then and for the future. We need the same kind of leadership today, and that is currently lacking,” said Paige Alexander, chief executive of the Carter Center.

WHAT IS EGYPT’S CURRENT POSITION?

Two Egyptian officials and a Western diplomat told The Associated Press on Sunday that Egypt may suspend the peace treaty if Israeli troops invade Rafah.

Netanyahu says Rafah is Hamas’ last remaining stronghold after more than four months of war and that sending in ground troops is essential to defeat the group.

But Egypt opposes any move that could send desperate Palestinians fleeing across the border onto its territory. Rafah also serves as the besieged territory’s main entry point for humanitarian aid, and an Israeli attack could stifle the deliveries of key supplies.

FILE – From left, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, U.S. President Jimmy Carter, and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin sign one of two agreements forged at the Camp David Summit during a joint announcement at the White House, Sept. 17, 1978. Egypt has threatened to void its decades-long peace treaty with Israel if Israel begins a large-scale offensive on Rafah, where some 1.4 million Palestinians shelter in densely-packed tent camps on the border with Egypt. (AP Photo, File)

Rafah’s population has swelled from 280,000 people to an estimated 1.4 million as Palestinians flee fighting elsewhere in Gaza. Hundreds of thousands of those evacuees are living in sprawling tent camps.

Netanyahu has ordered the military to prepare a plan to evacuate all Palestinian civilians before the offensive starts. But it is unclear where they will go.

Netanyahu said Sunday that they would be able to return to open spaces farther north. But those areas have been badly damaged by the Israeli offensive.

WHAT HAPPENS IF THE TREATY IS VOIDED?

The treaty greatly limits the number of troops on both sides of the border, though the countries have agreed in the past to modify those arrangements in response to specific security threats. This has allowed Israel to focus its military on other threats.

Along with the war in Gaza, Israel has engaged in near-daily skirmishes with the Hezbollah militant group in Lebanon while its security forces deploy heavily in the occupied West Bank.

CORRECTS DATE FILE – U.S. President Jimmy Carter, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli President Menachem Begin attend the formal ceremony for the Camp David Accords in Washington, D.C., March 26, 1979, designed to bring peace to the Middle East. Egypt has threatened to void its decades-long peace treaty with Israel if Israel begins a large-scale offensive on Rafah, where some 1.4 million Palestinians shelter in densely-packed tent camps on the border with Egypt. (AP Photo, File)

If Egypt were to nullify the agreement, it could mean that Israel can no longer rely on its southern border as an oasis of calm. Bolstering forces along its border with Egypt would no doubt challenge an Israeli military already thinly stretched.

But it would bear serious ramifications for Egypt as well. Egypt has received billions of dollars in U.S. military assistance from the U.S. since the peace agreement.

Alexander said any step that could draw Egypt into the hostilities “would be catastrophic for the entire region.”

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