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Ex-PM Alexander Stubb wins 1st round of Finland’s presidential vote to set up a runoff

Former Prime Minister Alexander Stubb won the first round of Finland’s presidential election Sunday and will face runner-up ex-Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto in a runoff next month. The vote largely centered on the Nordic nation’s new role as a NATO front-line country with Russia, and the security situation in Europe, particularly Russia’s assault on Ukraine.

Quick Read

  • Alexander Stubb, former Prime Minister, led the first round of Finland’s presidential election with 27.2% of the votes.
  • Pekka Haavisto, former Foreign Minister, was the runner-up with 25.8% of the votes, leading to a runoff election scheduled for Feb. 11.
  • The election focused on Finland’s role as a NATO member and the security landscape in Europe, especially in light of Russia’s actions in Ukraine.
  • Jussi Halla-aho and Olli Rehn secured third and fourth places with 19% and 15.3% of the votes, respectively.
  • The official election results will be confirmed on Tuesday, with no candidate achieving over half the votes in the first round.
  • Stubb and Haavisto were the primary contenders among nine candidates vying to succeed President Sauli Niinistö, who is stepping down due to term limits.
  • Voter turnout was reported at 74.9%, with approximately 4.5 million eligible voters participating.
  • The Finnish president has significant authority in foreign and security policy, unlike in most European nations, and also serves as the supreme military commander.
  • Key election issues included NATO membership, relations with Russia, security cooperation with the U.S., and support for Ukraine.
  • Finland’s NATO membership has elevated the president’s role in security policy, with the country now being a frontline state against Russia.

The Associated Press has the story:

Ex-PM Alexander Stubb wins 1st round of Finland’s presidential vote to set up a runoff

Newslooks- HELSINKI (AP) —

Former Prime Minister Alexander Stubb won the first round of Finland’s presidential election Sunday and will face runner-up ex-Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto in a runoff next month.

The vote largely centered on the Nordic nation’s new role as a NATO front-line country with Russia, and the security situation in Europe, particularly Russia’s assault on Ukraine.

The two candidates with the most preliminary votes, National Coalition Party candidate Alexander Stubb, right, and Social Movement candidate Pekka Haavisto stand during a Presidential election event, at the Helsinki City Hall, in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. A projection in Finland says Alexander Stubb has won the first round of the presidential election to set up a Feb 11 runoff. ((Markku Ulander/Lehtikuva via AP)

With all the votes counted, Stubb led the first round with 27.2% of the votes, while Haavisto, Finland’s top diplomat in 2019-2023, took second place with 25.8%. Parliamentary Speaker Jussi Halla-aho came in third with 19%, followed by Bank of Finland governor Olli Rehn with 15.3%.

National Coalition presidential candidate Alexander Stubb casts his ballot at a polling station during presidential election in Espoo, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. Voters in Finland are electing a new president at an unprecedented time. The Nordic nation is now a NATO member following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and its eastern border with Russia is closed. Both those things would have been almost unthinkable a few years ago. (AP Photo/Sergei Grits)

The first-round election result will be officially confirmed Tuesday. The result will push the race into a runoff on Feb. 11 between Stubb and Haavisto, because none of the candidates received more than half of the votes.

Social Movement presidential candidate Pekka Haavisto smiles, during a Presidential election event, at the Helsinki City Hall, in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. A projection in Finland says Alexander Stubb has won the first round of the presidential election to set up a Feb 11 runoff. (Markku Ulander/Lehtikuva via AP)

“Getting such a result together with the team is heartwarming. I am grateful and humbled by it,” Stubb told his supporters in an election party at a Helsinki restaurant, adding that he wasn’t planning major changes in his campaign for the second round of voting.

National Coalition Party candidate Alexander Stubb smiles, during a Presidential election event, at the Helsinki City Hall, in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. A projection in Finland says Alexander Stubb has won the first round of the presidential election to set up a Feb 11 runoff. (Markku Ulander/Lehtikuva via AP)

Stubb, 55, and Haavisto, 65, were the main contenders in the election. About 4.5 million eligible voters picked a successor out of nine candidates to replace hugely popular President Sauli Niinistö, whose second six-year term expires in March. He wasn’t eligible for reelection.

Initial voter turnout was 74.9%.

National Coalition presidential candidate Alexander Stubb with his wife Suzanne Innes-Stubb after voting at a polling station during the presidential election in Espoo, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. Voters in Finland are electing a new president at an unprecedented time. The Nordic nation is now a NATO member following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and its eastern border with Russia is closed. Both those things would have been almost unthinkable a few years ago. (AP Photo/Sergei Grits)

Stubb represents the conservative National Coalition Party and headed the Finnish government in 2014-2015 and earlier held other key Cabinet posts, while veteran politician Haavisto, an ex-U.N. diplomat and Green League member, is running for the post for the third time as an independent candidate.

Unlike in most European countries, the president of Finland holds executive power in formulating foreign and security policy, particularly when dealing with countries outside the European Union like the United States, Russia and China.

The two candidates with the most preliminary votes, National Coalition Party candidate Alexander Stubb, right, and Social Movement candidate Pekka Haavisto shake hands during a Presidential election event, at the Helsinki City Hall, in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. A projection in Finland says Alexander Stubb has won the first round of the presidential election to set up a Feb 11 runoff. ((Markku Ulander/Lehtikuva via AP)

The president also acts as the supreme commander of the Finnish military, a particularly important duty in Europe’s current security environment.

Pre-voting votes for the presidential election are counted in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday Jan. 28, 2024. Voters in Finland are electing a new president at an unprecedented time. The Nordic nation is now a NATO member following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and its eastern border with Russia is closed. (Mikko Stig/Lehtikuva via AP)

The main themes of the election were foreign and security policy issues like Finland’s recent membership in NATO, future policies toward Russia, enhancing security cooperation with the United States and the need to continue helping Ukraine with both military and humanitarian assistance.

National Coalition presidential candidate Alexander Stubb and wife Suzanne Innes-Stubb celebrate winning the first round at the presidential elections at his election reception in Helsinki, Finland Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. (Jussi Nukari/Lehtikuva via AP)

Finland’s new head of state will start a six-year term in March in a markedly different geopolitical and security situation in Europe than did incumbent Niinistö after the 2018 election.

Abandoning decades of military nonalignment in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Finland became NATO’s 31st member in April, much to the annoyance of President Vladimir Putin of Russia, which has a 1,340-kilometer (832-mile) border with the Nordic nation.

National Coalition presidential candidate Alexander Stubb comments on the results of early votes in the Presidential election night rally at the Helsinki City Hall in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. Voters in Finland are electing a new president at an unprecedented time. The Nordic nation is now a NATO member following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and its eastern border with Russia is closed. Both those things would have been almost unthinkable a few years ago. (Markku Ulander/Lehtikuva via AP)

NATO membership, which has made Finland the Western military alliance’s front-line country toward Russia, and the war raging in Ukraine a mere 1,000 kilometers (600 miles) away from Finland’s border have boosted the president’s status as a security policy leader.

As a rule, the president represents Finland at NATO summits.

The Finns Party presidential candidate Jussi Halla-aho comments on the results of early votes at his election reception in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. Voters in Finland are electing a new president at an unprecedented time. The Nordic nation is now a NATO member following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and its eastern border with Russia is closed. Both those things would have been almost unthinkable a few years ago. (Emmi Korhonen/Lehtikuva via AP)

As foreign minister, Haavisto signed Finland’s historic accession treaty to NATO last year and played a key role in the membership process along with Niinistö and former Prime Minister Sanna Marin.

Leaders after the early vote results, National Coalition Party candidate Alexander Stubb, right, and Social Movement candidate Pekka Haavisto stand during the Presidential election event, at the Helsinki City Hall, in Helsinki, Finland, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024. A projection in Finland says Alexander Stubb has won the first round of the presidential election to set up a Feb 11 runoff. ( (Markku Ulander/Lehtikuva via AP)

Finland’s western neighbor Sweden is set to join NATO in the near future as the final holdout, Hungary, is expected to ratify Stockholm’s bid by the end of February.

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