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Lai Ching-te, strongly opposed by China, celebrates winning Taiwan’s Presidential election

Ruling-party candidate Lai Ching-te emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election on Saturday and his opponents conceded, a result that will determine the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years. At a post-election news conference, Lai thanked the Taiwanese electorate for “writing a new chapter in our democracy. We have shown the world how much we cherish our democracy. This is our unwavering commitment.”

Quick Read

  1. Lai Ching-te’s Victory: Lai Ching-te, the ruling-party candidate and current vice president, won Taiwan’s presidential election.
  2. Election Context: China viewed the election as a critical choice affecting Taiwan’s relationship with the mainland, strongly opposing Lai due to his stance against Beijing’s claims.
  3. Significance of Victory: Lai’s victory, supported by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), marks the first time a single party has led Taiwan for three consecutive terms since the first open presidential elections in 1996.
  4. Lai’s Commitment to Democracy: In his post-election remarks, Lai emphasized Taiwan’s dedication to democracy and its resistance to external influences on the election.
  5. Taiwan’s Sovereignty Stance: Both Lai and the incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen reject China’s sovereignty claims over Taiwan, advocating for dialogue with Beijing.
  6. Opposition’s Stance: The Nationalist party’s candidate, Hou Yu-ih, conceded defeat and apologized for not winning the election, advocating for restarting talks with China while also focusing on national defense.
  7. Third Candidate Ko Wen-je: Representing the Taiwan People’s Party, Ko Wen-je drew young voters’ support and sought to maintain Taiwan’s democratic and free status.
  8. U.S. Support: The United States, legally committed to supporting Taiwan’s defense, pledged support for the newly elected government.
  9. Domestic Issues in Campaign: Affordable housing and stagnant wages were significant concerns in the campaign, alongside Taiwan-China relations.
  10. Public Opinion: Voters expressed a desire for democracy over communism, with concerns about China’s governance model under Xi Jinping influencing their choices.
  11. Geopolitical Implications: The election result is expected to have a substantial impact on Taiwan’s relations with China and the West, and on the situation in the South China Sea.
  12. U.S.-Taiwan Relations: Close ties between the U.S. and Taiwan are expected to strengthen under Lai’s administration.
  13. Beijing’s Potential Response: Analysts anticipate that Beijing may launch a comprehensive pressure campaign against Lai’s administration across military, economic, and political fronts.

The Associated Press has the story:

Lai Ching-te, strongly opposed by China, celebrates winning Taiwan’s Presidential election

Newslooks- TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) —

Ruling-party candidate Lai Ching-te emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election on Saturday and his opponents conceded, a result that will determine the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years.

China had called the poll a choice between war and peace. Beijing strongly opposes Lai, the current vice president who abandoned his medical career to pursue politics from the grassroots to the presidency.

Taiwanese Vice President Lai Ching-te, also known as William Lai, left, celebrates his victory with running mate Bi-khim Hsiao in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. The Ruling-party candidate has emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election and his opponents have conceded. (AP Photo/Louise Delmotte)

At stake is peace, social stability and prosperity on the island, 160 kilometers (100 miles) off the coast of China, which Beijing claims as its own and to be retaken by force if necessary.

While domestic issues such as the sluggish economy and expensive housing also featured prominently in the campaign, Lai’s Democratic Progressive Party’s appeal to self-determination, social justice and rejection of China’s threats ultimately won out. It is the first time a single party has led Taiwan for three consecutive four-year presidential terms since the first open presidential elections in 1996.

At a post-election news conference, Lai thanked the Taiwanese electorate for “writing a new chapter in our democracy. We have shown the world how much we cherish our democracy. This is our unwavering commitment.”

Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te, with Bi-khim Hsiao by his side, celebrates with supporters in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. The Ruling-party candidate emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election on Saturday and his opponents conceded, a result that will chart the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years.(AP Photo/Louise Delmotte)

He added: “Taiwan will continue to walk side by side with democracies from around the world … through our actions, the Taiwanese people have successfully resisted efforts from external forces to influence this election.”

Lai and incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen reject China’s sovereignty claims over Taiwan, a former Japanese colony that split from the Chinese mainland amid civil war in 1949. They have, however, offered to speak with Beijing, which has repeatedly refused to hold talks and called them separatists.

Supporters of Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te cheer for election returns in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. Polls closed Saturday in Taiwan’s presidential and parliamentary election that will chart the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years. (AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying)

Beijing was believed to favor the candidate from the more China-friendly Nationalist party, also known as Kuomintang, or KMT. Its candidate, Hou Yu-ih, also promised to restart talks with China while bolstering national defense. He promised not to move toward unifying the two sides of the Taiwan Strait if elected.

In his concession speech, Hou apologized for “not working hard enough” to regain power for the KMT, which ran Taiwan under martial law for nearly four decades before democratic reforms in the 1980s.

Kuomintang (KMT) presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih greets party supporters as votes are counted in New Taipei City, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. With half of votes counted, the candidate from Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party Lai Ching-te is leading in the race for the presidency according to local media reports. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)

“I let everyone down. I am here to express my sincerest apologies, I’m sorry,” Hou said in front of an audience whose numbers fell well short of expectations.

A third candidate in the race, Ko Wen-je of the smaller Taiwan People’s Party, or TPP, had drawn the support particularly of young people wanting an alternative to the KMT and DPP, Taiwan’s traditional opposing parties, which have largely taken turns governing since the 1990s. Ko also stated he wanted to speak with Beijing, and that his bottom line would be that Taiwan needs to remain democratic and free.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je casts his ballot at a polling station in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. Taiwanese are casting their votes Saturday for a new president in an election that could chart the trajectory of its relations with China over the next four years.(AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying)

The United States, which is bound by its laws to provide Taiwan with the weapons needed to defend itself, pledged support for whichever government emerges, reinforced by the Biden administration’s plans to send an unofficial delegation made up of former senior officials to the island shortly after the election.

Beside the China tensions, domestic issues such as the dearth of affordable housing and stagnating wages have dominated the campaign.

For Tony Chen, a 74-year-old retiree who voted in Taipei in the hour before the polls closed, the election boiled down to a choice between communism and democracy.

Supporters of Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te cheer for election returns in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. Polls closed Saturday in Taiwan’s presidential and parliamentary election that will chart the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years. (AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying)

“I hope democracy wins,” he said. He added that more Taiwanese were open to China’s model of governance decades ago, when the Chinese economy was growing by double digits annually, but are repulsed by the crackdown on civil liberties that has occurred under current Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Stacy Chen, 43, said she has always voted for DPP because “Taiwan is an independent country.” She said she wanted her son to grow up in a country that is separate from China.

Taiwan’s election is seen as having “real and lasting influence on the geopolitical landscape,” said Gabrielle Reid, associate director with the global intelligence consultancy S-RM.

Taiwanese Vice President Lai Ching-te, also known as William Lai, left, celebrates his victory in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. The Ruling-party candidate emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election on Saturday and his opponents conceded, a result that will chart the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years. (AP Photo/Louise Delmotte)

“The outcome of the vote will ultimately determine the nature of ties with China relative to the West and will have strong bearing on the state of play in the South China Sea,” she said.

Close ties with key ally the U.S. will likely draw even closer under Lai’s administration.

Taiwanese Vice President Lai Ching-te, also known as William Lai, left, celebrates his victory with running mate Bi-khim Hsiao in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024. Lai Ching-te emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election on Saturday and his opponents conceded, a result that will chart the trajectory of the self-ruled democracy’s relations with China over the next four years. (AP Photo/Louise Delmotte)

“A continuation of the DPP into a third term will mean that the warming-up of U.S.-Taiwan ties that we saw in the last eight years will likely continue at pace under the next Lai Ching-te administration,” said Wen-Ti Sung, a fellow with the Washington, D.C.-based Atlantic Council.

Beijing is likely to deploy a “maximum pressure campaign” to influence the new administration along military, economic and political lines, Sung told The Associated Press.

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