Michigan polling 2024/ Wisconsin polls Harris vs Trump/ Harris and Trump neck and neck/ NYT Siena poll Michigan Wisconsin 2024/ presidential election swing states/ Harris vs Trump in Michigan/ Trump Harris poll results/ 2024 battleground states Michigan Wisconsin/ Newslooks/ NEW YORK/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ A new NYT/Siena College poll shows a close race between Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump in the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin. In Michigan, Harris holds 48% support compared to Trump’s 47%, while in Wisconsin, Harris leads 49% to 47%. Both candidates are locked in a tight contest that could be pivotal in the 2024 presidential election.
Harris and Trump in Close Battle for Michigan and Wisconsin: Quick Looks
- Michigan Results: Harris leads Trump by just 1% among likely voters in Michigan (48% to 47%).
- Wisconsin Race: Harris holds a narrow 2% lead over Trump in Wisconsin (49% to 47%).
- Polling Details: The NYT/Siena College poll surveyed 688 likely voters in Michigan and 680 in Wisconsin, with a margin of error of ±4%.
- Nebraska’s Second District: Harris also leads by 9% in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, a crucial battleground for the Electoral College.
NYT/Siena Poll: Harris & Trump in Tight Race in Michigan, Wisconsin
Deep Look:
The race between Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election is proving to be as tight as expected, particularly in the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin. According to a new opinion poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, both candidates are neck-and-neck in these crucial swing states, which could once again play a decisive role in determining the outcome of the election.
The NYT/Siena poll, conducted between September 21 and 26, surveyed 688 likely voters in Michigan and 680 in Wisconsin. In Michigan, Harris secured 48% of the vote, narrowly edging out Trump, who received 47%. Similarly, in Wisconsin, Harris leads Trump 49% to 47%, well within the poll’s margin of error, which is plus or minus four percentage points for each state.
Importance of Michigan and Wisconsin in 2024
Michigan and Wisconsin are critical battlegrounds that have swung between Republican and Democratic candidates in recent elections. In 2016, Trump won both states by razor-thin margins, helping him secure the Electoral College victory despite losing the national popular vote. However, in 2020, President Joe Biden flipped both states back into the Democratic column. The tight polling results suggest that these states remain deeply divided, and the results in November 2024 could once again be a deciding factor in the overall race.
Nebraska’s Second District Lead
In addition to the tight races in Michigan and Wisconsin, the poll also found that Harris holds a nine-point lead over Trump in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District. This district, which encompasses Omaha and its suburbs, is important because Nebraska is one of only two states that allocate their Electoral College votes by congressional district. In a close election, this single electoral vote could be critical.
Polling Methodology and Accuracy
The polls were conducted by telephone interviews with likely voters in both Michigan and Wisconsin. With a margin of error of about ±4 percentage points, the results indicate that the race is far from settled, and either candidate could gain an edge in the coming weeks. Voter turnout, campaign efforts, and key issues like the economy, healthcare, and immigration will likely shape the final outcome in both states.
The Road Ahead
With just over a year left until the 2024 election, the close polling numbers in Michigan and Wisconsin reflect the deep polarization in these key states. Both Harris and Trump will need to focus their campaigns on swaying undecided voters and solidifying their bases in these battlegrounds.
While Harris holds a slight lead in both Michigan and Wisconsin, the race remains incredibly close, and both candidates have a lot of work ahead to secure these crucial electoral votes. The results in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, while less talked about, could also play a pivotal role in the final outcome if the race is as tight as it appears.
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