European Union leaders struggled at the start of a two-day summit Thursday to keep intact their two most basic promises to Ukraine at war — to give it the money and wherewithal to stave off the Russian invasion and maintain its hope that one day it will be able to join the wealthy bloc. And stunningly, the threat to that commitment does not come from outside, but from within, from the EU’s increasingly recalcitrant member Hungary. The vision of its prime minister, Viktor Orban, heartily shaking hands with Russian President Vladimir Putin two months ago still hung heavy over the gathering.
Quick Read
- EU’s Commitment to Ukraine: EU leaders are struggling to maintain their promises to Ukraine, which include financial aid and the prospect of future membership in the bloc.
- Hungary’s Opposition: Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is the primary obstacle, vowing to block both the start of membership negotiations with Ukraine and the provision of 50 billion euros in financial aid.
- Orban’s Stance: Orban criticizes the EU’s approach, claiming it will lead to the Union’s destruction, and has set conditions that Ukraine has not yet met for membership discussions.
- Ukraine’s Dire Situation: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s recent visit to Washington highlighted the urgent need for continuous support from the EU and the U.S.
- Leaders’ Urgency: EU leaders like Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar and Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda emphasize the immediate need for financial aid to support Ukraine in its ongoing conflict with Russia.
- Zelenskyy’s Address: In a video address, Zelenskyy urged EU leaders to honor their agreements and not allow Putin to claim victory.
- EU’s Unanimity Requirement: The EU’s decision-making process requires unanimity on strategic issues related to Ukraine, giving Orban significant leverage.
- Orban’s Influence: Orban is perceived as Putin’s ally within the EU, potentially undermining the Union’s support for Ukraine.
- Negotiations with Orban: Attempts by leaders like Macron and Scholz to sway Orban have so far been unsuccessful.
- Orban’s Conditions and Tactics: Orban’s demands include a strategic discussion on Ukraine’s future in Europe and concerns about corruption, using his position to negotiate concessions.
- EU’s Rule of Law Concerns with Hungary: Orban has clashed with the EU on various issues, including democratic principles and financial matters.
- Financial Concessions to Hungary: The EU has recently granted Hungary access to over 10 billion euros in frozen funds, following Budapest’s concessions on the rule of law.
- Potential Workaround for Ukraine Aid: If Orban continues to block the aid, other EU member states might bypass the formal process and individually provide financial support to Ukraine.
- Importance of EU Unity: The situation underscores the need for EU unity in supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression, as well as the challenge posed by internal disagreements.
The Associated Press has the story:
Orban tests EU promises to help Ukraine as he stands firm on blocking aid
Newslooks- BRUSSELS (AP)
European Union leaders struggled at the start of a two-day summit Thursday to keep intact their two most basic promises to Ukraine at war — to give it the money and wherewithal to stave off the Russian invasion and maintain its hope that one day it will be able to join the wealthy bloc.
And stunningly, the threat to that commitment does not come from outside, but from within, from the EU’s increasingly recalcitrant member Hungary. The vision of its prime minister, Viktor Orban, heartily shaking hands with Russian President Vladimir Putin two months ago still hung heavy over the gathering.
Orban came into the summit vowing to both block the plans by his 26 fellow leaders to officially declare that membership negotiations with Ukraine can start, and more pressingly, deny Kyiv 50 billion euros ($54 billion) in financial aid that the country desperately needs to stay afloat.
“The European Union is about to make a terrible mistake and they must be stopped — even if 26 of them want to do it, and we are the only ones against it,” he said in comments released by his office Thursday. “This is a mistake, we are destroying the European Union.”
The challenge comes at an especially dire time for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, straight off a trip to Washington where his pleas for more aid from the U.S. Congress fell on deaf ears.
“Ukraine will not stand without supports and ongoing support from both the European Union and the U.S,” said Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar. Barring that, he added “well then, Putin will win.”
Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda said the decision on the financial aid had to be taken at the summit, “because Ukraine is not fighting tomorrow. Ukraine is fighting right now.”
The urgency to find a solution is matched only by the potential blow to the EU’s credibility, Zelenskyy said in a video address to the leaders.
“Nobody wants Europe to be seen as untrustworthy. Or as unable to take decisions it prepared itself,” he said.
Referring to Putin, he added, “Don’t give him this first – and only – victory of the year. Europe must win, agreements must be honored.”
“Whatever it takes” had been the relentless mantra of the EU in pledging its support, leaders dressed up in the yellow and sky-blue colors of Ukraine, and countless speeches ending with the rallying cry “Slava Ukraini!” — “Glory to Ukraine!”
The EU, a group of 27 nations which still cherish their independence on strategic and foreign affairs issues, works by unanimity on most issues relating to Ukraine. Orban is seen by many as Putin’s foot in the summit door, Putin’s wrecking ball to demolish EU support for Zelenskyy.
Even ahead of the summit, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz had already taken Orban aside in an attempt to make him change his mind.
“It is important that a clear signal of support be sent here – a signal directed to the courageous citizens of Ukraine, who are defending their country, but a signal also directed to the Russian president,” said German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
Orban said such negotiating tactics would not work with him. “We will not shift on this, no matter the offer. Hungarians are genetically insensitive to pressure,” he said. He said at least three conditions had not yet been fulfilled by Ukraine. “So there is no need to negotiate membership of Ukraine now.” The next EU summit is slated in March.
Orban has complained of corruption in Ukraine and has demanded a “strategic discussion” on the country’s future in Europe as the war with Russia bogs down and concerns mount about what kind of administration might emerge in Washington after the U.S. elections in a year.
Orban has been at odds with his fellow EU leaders for years, ranging from fights over COVID-19 recovery money to his declining respect for the Western democratic principles that are the essence of the EU. Yet as the longest-serving EU leader, he knows how to play the summit room like few others and has been able to extract financial concessions time and again to shore up his struggling economy.
It could come in handy over the next days.
“We should be clear, this is not a Hungarian bazaar where anything can be traded for something else. This is at a decisive moment, where we need to show that we continue to support Ukraine in full unity,” Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo said.
The EU relented on Wednesday and granted Hungary access to over 10 billions euros ($11 billion) in funds that had been frozen by the European Commission out of concern that democratic backsliding by Orban could put the bloc’s principles at risk. The Commission said it did so after Budapest had made the necessary concessions on the rule of law principle and denied it was a bargaining chip.
If Orban still refuses to back the Ukraine aid, officials have said that the 26 member states could possibly sidestep the EU process and individually grant the money. The process would be unwieldy and more expensive but possible.
