Consumers barely increased spending in May from April as still high inflation and high interest rates curbed spending. Retail sales rose 0.1% in May, below the pace that economists projected, according to the Commerce Department. And April sales were revised downward — a 0.2% decline, from unchanged. Sales rose 0.6% in March and 0.9% in February. That comes after sales fell 1.1% in January, dragged down in part by inclement weather.
Quick Read
Retail Sales Rise a Meager 0.1% in May as Inflation and High Interest Rates Curb Spending
- Minimal Increase: Retail sales in the U.S. rose just 0.1% in May from April, below economists’ expectations.
- Revised Figures: April sales were revised downward to a 0.2% decline from initially being unchanged.
- Category Breakdown: Excluding gas and auto sales, retail sales also rose 0.1%. Without gasoline sales, which have been falling, sales were up 0.3%.
- Sector Performance: Clothing and accessory store sales increased by 0.9%, electronics and appliance stores by 0.4%, and online sales by 0.8%. Conversely, building materials and garden supplies fell by 0.8%, and gas stations dropped by 2.2%.
- Gas Prices: The average price of gasoline was $3.45 per gallon as of Monday, down from $3.59 a month ago.
- Consumer Spending Trends: Despite a strong job market and rising wages, consumer spending remains inconsistent due to rising credit costs and persistent, albeit easing, inflation.
- Price Cuts: Retailers like Target and Walmart have implemented price cuts to attract consumers during the summer months.
- Inflation Data: Inflation has cooled, with the core consumer price index rising 0.2% from April to May, the smallest increase since October. Overall, consumer prices remained unchanged from April to May.
- Federal Reserve Response: The Federal Reserve signaled a potential rate cut later this year, noting that inflation is moving closer to their target level.
- Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell to 65.6 in June from 69.1 in May, indicating ongoing consumer anxiety over inflation.
- Retailer Insights: Executives like Darren Rebelez of Casey’s General Stores note that while consumers remain resilient, they are becoming more selective in their purchases, shifting spending to more affordable options.
The Associated Press has the story:
Retail sales rise a meager 0.1% in May from April as still high inflation curbs spending
Newslooks- NEW YORK (AP) —
Consumers barely increased spending in May from April as still high inflation and high interest rates curbed spending. Retail sales rose 0.1% in May, below the pace that economists projected, according to the Commerce Department. And April sales were revised downward — a 0.2% decline, from unchanged. Sales rose 0.6% in March and 0.9% in February. That comes after sales fell 1.1% in January, dragged down in part by inclement weather.
Excluding gas prices and auto sales, retail sales rose the same amount. Excluding sales from gasoline, whose prices have been falling, sales were up 0.3%.
The retail sales data offers only a partial look at consumer spending because it excludes things like travel and lodging. However at restaurants, the lone service category tracked in the monthly retail sales report, sales fell 0.4% in May.
Sales at clothing and accessory stores rose 0.9%, while electronics and appliance stores posted a 0.4% gain. Online sales rose 0.8%. But business at building material and garden supplies fell 0.8%. And sales at gas stations were down 2.2%.
The national average price for a gallon of unleaded gasoline was $3.45 as of Monday; a month ago, it was $3.59, AAA said.
A strong job market and rising wages have fueled household spending but spending remains choppy in the face of rising credit costs and still high inflation, though it has eased. To give shoppers some relief, Target, Walmart and other chains have rolled out price cuts — some permanent, others temporary, heading into the summer months.
Earlier this month, the government reported that America’s employers added a robust 272,000 jobs in May, accelerating from April and an indicator that companies are still bullish enough in the economy to keep hiring despite stubbornly high interest rates.
The government’s report on consumer inflation last week, showed how inflation cooled substantially in May, as the cost of gasoline, new cars, and even car insurance fell.
Consumer prices excluding volatile food and energy costs — the closely watched “core” index — rose 0.2% from April to May, the government said last week. That was down from 0.3% the previous month and was the smallest increase since October. Overall, inflation also eased last month, with consumer prices unchanged from April to May. Measured from a year earlier, prices increased 3.3%, less than the 3.6% gain a month earlier.
Federal Reserve officials said last week after the report came out that inflation has fallen further toward their target level in recent months but signaled that they expect to cut their benchmark interest rate just once this year.
Still, anxiety over still stubborn inflation helped drive down U.S. consumer sentiment for the third consecutive month. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, released Friday in a preliminary version, dropped to 65.6 this month from a final reading of 69.1 in May.
Retail executives say shoppers are still buying, but they’re being choosy about what they spend their money on.
Darren Rebelez, president and CEO of Ankeny, Iowa-based Casey’s Casey’s General Stores, Inc. which operates more than 2,600 convenience stores in 17 Midwestern states, noted shoppers remain resilient, but the company is also in a sweet spot. Roughly 25% of the chain’s customers have household income of less than $50,000, and seven of the bottom 10 most affordable states are in the stores’ footprint so customers can stretch their dollars further.
Still, Rebelez says customers are making choices like shifting away from candy because of skyrocketing cocoa prices and moving into baked goods like cookies, brownies and donuts. They’re also buying less bottled soda and buying more soda fountain beverages, because they are cheaper.
“They’re not giving up on their indulgences,” he said. “They’re just choosing to spend it differently so they can get a little more value for the money.”
