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Trump Sets Stage to Challenge 2024 Election Results if Defeated

Trump election fraud claims/ 2024 election challenge/ Trump fraud allegations/ U.S. election integrity/ Trump Harris election/ Newslooks/ NEW YORK/ J. Mansour/ Morning Edition/ Former President Donald Trump is laying the groundwork to challenge the 2024 election results, repeating claims of widespread fraud. His strategy includes allegations of non-citizen voting, targeted accusations in battleground states, and threats of prosecution against alleged “cheaters.” Here’s a breakdown of Trump’s statements and their factual context.

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign rally at Macomb Community College, Friday, Nov. 1, 2024, in Warren, Mich. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

Trump Paves Path for Challenging 2024 Results with Fraud Claims: Quick Looks

  • Election Rhetoric: Trump claims Democrats can only win if they cheat, suggesting he won’t accept defeat.
  • Fraud Allegations: Trump’s assertions include non-citizen voting and accusations of voting fraud in Pennsylvania.
  • Prosecution Threats: Trump warns of legal action against those he deems involved in election fraud if he wins.
  • Past Strategy: In 2020, Trump’s early victory claim led to failed legal challenges and the Jan. 6 Capitol attack.
  • Election Integrity: Experts say there is no evidence to support claims of widespread fraud.

Trump Sets Stage to Challenge 2024 Election Results if Defeated

Deep Look

Former President Donald Trump is building a narrative that, if he loses the 2024 election, it will be due to election fraud—echoing his actions from 2020. At rallies and in media appearances, Trump has repeatedly stated that the only way Democrats can win is by cheating. With this message, he has emphasized that he will only accept the outcome if he wins. At a recent event in Arizona, he told supporters, “The only thing that can stop us is the cheating.”

Trump’s stance mirrors his approach in the 2020 election, where he declared an early victory and initiated a wave of legal challenges to overturn the results, ultimately culminating in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. Democrats and political analysts are concerned he may repeat these tactics if the results are not in his favor. Asked about these concerns at a recent stop in Michigan, Trump pivoted to criticizing Vice President Kamala Harris rather than addressing the question directly.

Trump has anchored his 2024 campaign on claims of widespread fraud, casting doubt on the integrity of the electoral process and warning of repercussions for alleged “cheaters.” His approach is backed by an extensive “election integrity” network built by his campaign and the Republican National Committee (RNC), which includes more than 230,000 volunteers trained as poll watchers and election monitors. These efforts also encompass more than 130 lawsuits filed in key states ahead of Election Day.

Here’s a look at Trump’s claims about the 2024 election and the facts surrounding them:

Non-Citizen Voting

The Claim: Trump has repeatedly alleged that Democrats are allowing non-citizens to vote by registering undocumented migrants, using a Newsmax interview in September to claim that “they’re working overtime to sign people and register people… many of the same people that you just see come across the border.”

The Facts: There is no evidence to support Trump’s claims. Becoming a U.S. citizen, and thereby eligible to vote, generally takes years. Research shows cases of non-citizens casting ballots are extremely rare, and those that do occur are often due to misunderstanding the eligibility criteria rather than organized fraud. In a recent example, a University of Michigan student from China was arrested for voting illegally, but isolated cases like this do not constitute a larger conspiracy.

Overseas Ballots

The Claim: Trump has criticized Democratic efforts to secure votes from Americans overseas, particularly military members, suggesting that it represents another attempt to “dilute the TRUE vote” of U.S. citizens.

The Facts: Securing overseas votes is a bipartisan practice, and Trump himself has actively campaigned for Americans abroad, promising benefits like ending “double taxation” on overseas income. Many states make provisions for the votes of Americans stationed or living abroad to ensure their participation in federal elections.

“Ominous Warnings” About Secret Knowledge

The Claim: Trump has suggested that Harris may have insider knowledge about the election, implying that her recent campaign appearances with celebrities like Beyoncé indicate foreknowledge of the outcome.

The Facts: There is no evidence supporting Trump’s implication that Harris has “inside knowledge” of a planned election outcome. In a similar instance, Trump alluded to a “little secret” during a rally with House Speaker Mike Johnson, who later clarified that it referred to Republican get-out-the-vote strategies. Political events featuring high-profile endorsers are common in both parties as they work to maximize voter enthusiasm.

Alleged Fraud in Pennsylvania

The Claim: Recently, Trump claimed that Pennsylvania was already engaged in cheating, citing two counties—York and Lancaster—where he alleged fraudulent activities involving thousands of ballots.

The Facts: Local officials in Lancaster and York have confirmed investigations into irregularities, but these are isolated to voter registration applications, not actual votes. Lancaster County’s district attorney, Heather Adams, a Republican, confirmed that officials are examining about 2,500 suspicious registration forms that showed signs of inconsistencies but did not involve actual fraudulent voting. State officials have stated that the investigation into applications demonstrates the system is effective in catching issues before they impact results.

Threats of Prosecution

The Claim: Trump has issued stark warnings to those involved in what he calls “unscrupulous behavior” in the election, promising prosecution and severe penalties if he wins.

The Facts: Despite Trump’s claims of widespread cheating in 2020, no significant instances of fraud were confirmed by courts, election officials, or even Trump’s then-Attorney General William Barr. Trump has, however, promised to go after perceived enemies within government if he is elected, including targeting Biden through a special prosecutor, a move reminiscent of his calls for investigations of political opponents during his previous term.

While there are protections in place to prevent politicization of the Justice Department, a Trump-appointed attorney general could potentially pursue cases against his critics, though such actions would likely spark significant legal and public backlash.

Implications of Trump’s Election Doubts

Trump’s strategy appears designed to preemptively delegitimize the election results in the event of a loss, echoing tactics seen in 2020. Experts warn that fostering doubt about the voting process could damage public trust and increase division. With lawsuits already filed and an extensive network of poll watchers in place, Trump’s campaign is laying the groundwork to contest close results in swing states, a scenario that could prolong the election outcome and increase political tensions.

This approach places significant strain on the electoral process. Although claims of widespread fraud remain unsubstantiated, Trump’s continued emphasis on potential cheating and threats of punitive action are likely to further polarize the electorate. As the 2024 election draws near, both parties are preparing for a potentially contentious post-election period.

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