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US is making its biggest push yet to get Israel & Hamas to halt fighting. Is it succeeding?

In Middle East capitals, at the United Nations, from the White House and beyond, the Biden administration is making its most concentrated diplomatic push of the eight-month-old war in Gaza to persuade Israeli and Hamas leaders to take a proposed deal that would bring a cease-fire and release of more hostages.

Quick Read

  • The Biden administration is making its biggest push yet to get Israel and Hamas to halt fighting and release more hostages.
  • The U.S. is leading a concentrated diplomatic effort, including involvement from President Joe Biden, to persuade both sides to agree to a cease-fire and a prisoner exchange.
  • President Biden publicly outlined the terms of the proposed deal, which includes a six-week cease-fire and a partial pullback of Israeli forces in exchange for the release of some hostages by Hamas and Palestinian prisoners by Israel.
  • The proposal has yet to be accepted by either Israel or Hamas, with both sides holding firm on their demands.
  • The Biden administration is keeping up the pressure through diplomatic channels, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s scheduled trip to the Middle East and support from other global leaders.
  • The U.S. is also pushing the United Nations Security Council to adopt a resolution for a permanent cease-fire.
  • In Israel, political dynamics complicate acceptance of the proposal, with Prime Minister Netanyahu facing opposition from his far-right coalition partners.
  • Hamas has yet to formally respond but has indicated some positive reception while maintaining its conditions for a complete withdrawal of Israeli troops and other demands.

The Associated Press has the story:

US is making its biggest push yet to get Israel & Hamas to halt fighting. Is it succeeding?

Newslooks- WASHINGTON (AP) —

In Middle East capitals, at the United Nations, from the White House and beyond, the Biden administration is making its most concentrated diplomatic push of the eight-month-old war in Gaza to persuade Israeli and Hamas leaders to take a proposed deal that would bring a cease-fire and release of more hostages.

But one week into the U.S. pressure campaign, the world still is waiting for signs that the cease-fire appeal begun May 31 by President Joe Biden was working, by moving Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Hamas leaders toward a negotiating breakthrough.

FILE – President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the Middle East at the White House, May 31, 2024, in Washington. The Biden administration is keeping up its biggest push of the 8-month-old war in Gaza to get Israel and Hamas into a cease-fire. But the world is still waiting for signs that the cease-fire appeal that President Joe Biden launched a week ago is working. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

For Israel and Hamas, the U.S. diplomatic press has become a public test of whether either side is ready to stop fighting — at least on any terms that fall short of their professed goals, whether it’s the complete crushing of the militant group or the complete withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza.

FILE – President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the Middle East at the White House, May 31, 2024, in Washington. The Biden administration is keeping up its biggest push of the 8-month-old war in Gaza to get Israel and Hamas into a cease-fire. But the world is still waiting for signs that the cease-fire appeal that President Joe Biden launched a week ago is working. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

For Biden, who describes the proposal as Israeli, it’s the latest high-profile test of U.S. leadership in trying to convince ally Israel as well as the militant group to relent in a conflict that is killing tens of thousands of people, inflaming regional tensions and absorbing much of the administration’s focus.

Here’s a look at the U.S.-led push for a Gaza cease-fire and where it stands:

GOING PUBLIC

It wasn’t that the cease-fire proposal Biden outlined in a televised address from the White House a week ago was startingly new. It was that Biden laid out the terms to the world and put the full weight of the U.S. presidency behind the appeal for both sides to take this deal.

The terms that Biden described for the first of three phases sounded much like the deal that U.S., Qatari and Egyptian mediators and Israel and Hamas have been haggling over for months.

President Joe Biden speaks before signing a $95 billion Ukraine aid package that also includes support for Israel, Taiwan, and other allies, in the State Dining Room of the White House, Wednesday, April 24, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

There would be a six-week cease-fire in which Israeli forces pulled back from populated areas of Gaza. In exchange for Israel releasing hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, Hamas would release some women, older people and wounded among hostages it had seized in the Oct. 7 attacks in Israel that set off the war.

The proposal calls for a full release of remaining hostages and an Israeli withdrawal in later phases, although the terms are vague.

“Everyone who wants peace now must raise their voices and let the leaders know they should take this deal,” Biden said a week ago.

Palestinians wounded in the Israeli bombardment of the Gaza Strip arrive at al-Aqsa Hospital in Deir al Balah on Saturday, June 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Jehad Alshrafi)

But by Friday, neither Israel nor Hamas had said yes. Netanyahu says the terms of the proposal aren’t as they have been described publicly and that Israel will never cease fighting until “the destruction” of Hamas’ military and leadership.

In effect, said Nimrod Novik, a former senior adviser to the late Israeli Prime Minister Shimon Peres, Biden “decided to ‘out’ Netanyahu and let the Israeli public know how serious the potential for bringing all hostages out.”

Andrey Kozlov, 27, left, and Almog Meir Jan, 21, two of four hostages who were kidnapped in a Hamas-led attack on Oct. 7, 2023, and were just rescued, arrive by helicopter to the Sheba Medical Center in Ramat Gan, Israel, Saturday, June 8, 2024. Israel says it has rescued four hostages who were kidnapped in a Hamas-led attack on Oct. 7. (AP Photo/Tomer Appelbaum)

The U.S. aim: “So Israel would say ‘yes’ to its own proposal,” said Novik, now the Israel fellow at the Washington-based Israel Policy Forum.

KEEPING UP THE PRESSURE

The Biden administration isn’t letting up in its drive to get Hamas and Israel on board.

“The U.S. is going to do everything it can in some formulation to keep pushing this. Until there’s no place to go any more,” said Jonathan Panikoff, a former U.S. intelligence official. He’s now the director of the Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Middle East program.

FILE – United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres speak during a Security Council meeting at the United Nations headquarters, April 18, 2024. U.N. Secretary General António Guterres called Wednesday, June 5, 2024, for a “windfall” tax on profits of fossil fuel companies to help pay for the fight against global warming, decrying them as the “godfathers of climate chaos.” (AP Photo/Yuki Iwamura, File)

At the U.N., U.S. diplomats are asking the Security Council to adopt a resolution demanding a permanent cease-fire between Hamas and Israel in Gaza, over Israel’s objections. Biden is sending Secretary of State Antony Blinken back to the Middle East next week for his eighth visit since the war began, a lightning tour of Middle East capitals to promote the cease-fire proposal.

United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken speaks during a media conference after a meeting of NATO foreign ministers at the Czernin Palace, in Prague, Friday, May 31, 2024. (AP Photo/Petr David Josek, Pool)

CIA director Bill Burns and Biden Middle East adviser Brett McGurk also have traveled to the region to garner support for the deal and show key players how it could work.

FILE – CIA Director William Burns listens during a Senate Select Committee on Intelligence hearing, on Capitol Hill in Washington, April 14, 2021. (Graeme Jennings/Pool via AP, File)

The Group of Seven leading global economies endorsed the proposal. So have countries with hostages held by militants in Gaza. Biden, Blinken and other U.S. officials are working the phones to rally support among Arab governments from Egypt and Qatar to Saudi Arabia and Jordan.

FILE – In this June 7, 2017, file photo, Brett McGurk, the U.S. envoy for the global coalition against IS, speaks during a news conference at the U.S. Embassy Baghdad, Iraq. In late November, the sides agreed to one-week cease-fire. Hamas released over 100 of the 250 hostages it was holding, mostly women and children, while Israel freed 240 Palestinian prisoners. The sides blamed each other for the failure to extend the deal, and fighting has worsened since then. The White House’s national security spokesman, John Kirby, said Tuesday that a senior envoy, Brett McGurk, was in Cairo for talks on a “humanitarian pause” that would include a hostage deal. (AP Photo/Hadi Mizban, File)

Many allies appear to welcome the president’s initiative to get the cease-fire talks back on course after weeks of drift, Panikoff said.

THE VIEW FROM ISRAEL

There’s little sign — yet — that the U.S. efforts have been enough to change the political equation in Israel. Netanyahu’s far-right coalition partners have vowed to bring down the government if the Israeli prime minister accepts the proposal that Biden outlined.

Analysis: Israeli PM's Gaza gamble seems to have paid off
FILE – Israel’s caretaker Prime Minister Yair Lapid heads a cabinet meeting in Jerusalem on July 31, 2022. Lapid took a gamble with his pre-emptive strike against Islamic Jihad militants in Gaza, less than three months before he competes in general elections to retain his job. (Gil Cohen-Magen/Pool Photo via AP, File)

Trailing in opinion polls and facing an ongoing corruption trial, Netanyahu has little incentive to risk heading to another election. Although opposition leader Yair Lapid has offered to give Netanyahu backing for a hostage deal, the two men are bitter enemies and there is little reason to think any alliance would last.

Benny Gantz, a centrist member of Netanyahu’s war Cabinet, has called a news conference for Saturday, where he is expected to address his earlier threat to resign by this weekend if Netanyahu failed to release a plan for the war and Gaza.

FILE – Benny Gantz speaks at the announcement of former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot’s election bid in Ramat Gan, Israel, on Aug. 14, 2022. Gantz, Eisenkot and Gideon Sa’ar have teamed up for the November elections, called the National Unity Party. Benny Gantz, who is in Washington this week for meetings with U.S. leaders, is a crucial member of Israel’s War Cabinet. He is also the top political rival to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Gantz is a centrist politician who joined Netanyahu’s ultranationalist and religious government soon after Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on southern Israel. (AP Photo/Tsafrir Abayov, File)

Netanyahu will still control a parliamentary majority if Gantz leaves. But the departure of Gantz, a former military chief and defense minister who is respected in Washington, would weaken Netanyahu’s international credibility and leave him more dependent than ever on far-right coalition partners, who believe Israel should reoccupy Gaza and oppose the cease-fire proposal.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addresses a ceremony marking Memorial Day for fallen soldiers of Israel’s wars and victims of attacks at Jerusalem’s Mount Herzl military cemetery on May 13, 2024. President Joe Biden has called for a quick ceasefire and end to the fighting between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip, saying the militant group is no longer capable of launching an attack on Israel like the one on Oct. 7. Netanyahu and far-right ministers disagree, saying that destroying Hamas will require continued Israeli military operations in the strip. (Gil Cohen-Magen/Pool Photo via AP)

Popular protests could be one of the few scenarios that sway Netanyahu toward a deal, Novik said. Alternatively, Novik contended, just the threat of a public denunciation by Biden could prod Netanyahu toward compromise, given the United States’ importance as an ally.

HOW ABOUT HAMAS?

Hamas is expected to deliver a formal response in coming days to the proposal that Biden is pushing, according to what the Qataris and Egyptians, who handle the direct communications with Hamas officials in the negotiations, told U.S. officials this week.

Hamas official
Senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan speaks during a rally organized by Lebanon’s militant Hezbollah group to express solidarity with the Palestinian people, in the southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Monday, May 17, 2021. Hamdan says he expects a cease-fire between the group’s Gaza branch and Israel within 24 hours, on Thursday, May 20. He tells The Associated Press that Egypt and Qatar are mediating and that progress is being made. (AP Photo/Hassan Ammar)

Senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan told reporters this week in Beirut that Biden’s announcement was “positive” but said the group couldn’t accept any deal without Israel’s guarantee of a permanent cease-fire, a complete withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza, a prisoner exchange and other conditions.

FILE – Yahya Sinwar, head of Hamas in Gaza, greets his supporters upon his arrival at a meeting in a hall on the sea side of Gaza City, on April 30, 2022. Since Hamas fighters carried out the deadliest attack on Israel in decades, Israeli officials have vowed to crush the Palestinian militant group and its enigmatic leader in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar. But seven weeks into the war, 61-year-old Sinwar remains alive, in hiding and at the helm of Hamas’ fighters as they battle Israeli forces. (AP Photo/Adel Hana, File)

While the supreme leader of Hamas and other political figures are based abroad, Hamas also must relay any proposals to Yahya Sinwar — whose opinion is paramount — and other military leaders in Gaza. They inhabit tunnels up to 100 feet (30 meters) or more underground and are believed to have surrounded themselves with foreign hostages to discourage attack.

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