The world is certainly watching the U.S. markets and economy because what America does affect the world markets, and if the U.S. slips into a deep recession, financial stability for other countries will be noticed. European benchmarks and U.S. futures slipped after Tokyo and some other markets tracked Wall Street’s gains of the day before. As reported by the AP:
Analysts warned the gains might be short-lived given the extent that high inflation has seeped into the world economy
TOKYO (AP) — World shares were mostly lower Thursday after the Federal Reserve raised its key interest rate by three-quarters of a point and signaled more rate hikes were coming to fight inflation.
Shares in New York rallied after the Fed’s hike, the biggest since 1994, as investors initially took heart from Chair Jerome Powell’s comments suggesting future rate increases may be more modest.
France’s CAC 40 sank 2.1% to 5,906.32. Germany’s DAX dropped 2.6% to 13,130.64. Britain’s FTSE 100 shed 2.1% to 7,118.55.
The future for the S&P 500 was 2.3% lower at 3,707.00, while the future for the Dow industrials gave up 1.8% to 30,105.00. On Wednesday, the the S&P 500 climbed 1.5% in its first gain in six sessions, after it tumbled into bear market territory earlier in the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 1% higher, while the Nasdaq composite jumped 2.5%.
The Bank of England was expected to raise interest rates later Thursday. World Economists said the increase was already expected and factored in, but it marks another step in the dismantling of supports for markets put in place during the pandemic.
The Swiss National Bank raised rates by half a percentage point, to a still low minus 0.25%. Taiwan’s central bank raised its key rate by 0.125 basis points to 1.5%.
“The clear read-through here is the FOMC (Fed) has unleashed the central bank Hawkish Genie from the bottle, and we should expect more aggressive follow-through from other central banks except those who are economically challenged,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.
In Asian trading, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 added 0.4% to finish at 26,431.20. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gave up earlier gains, falling nearly 0.2% to 6,591.10. South Korea’s Kospi edged 0.2% higher to 2,451.41. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng shed 2.2% to 20,845.43, while the Shanghai Composite fell 0.6% to 3,285.38.
The Bank of Japan started a two-day policy meeting that will end on Friday. The Japanese central bank is under pressure to act given downward pressures on the yen from U.S. rate hikes and super-low rates in Japan. But its aim has been to foster sustainable inflation after years of fending off deflation or falling prices.
Investors have been selling yen and buying dollars in anticipation of higher yields from dollar-denominated holdings. Japanese politicians and the central bank chief have expressed worries about the declining yen, but no dramatic policy changes are expected.
By late Thursday afternoon, the U.S. dollar had edged up to 134.07 Japanese yen from 133.82 yen. It recently topped 135 yen, the highest level in 20 years. The euro cost $1.0397, down from $1.0447.
Japan recorded a nearly 2.4 trillion-yen ($17.9 billion) trade deficit last month, its 10th straight month of a red ink, the Finance Ministry reported. Japan racked up its highest imports for the month of May since 1979, as surging energy prices and a weak yen sent the value of imports soaring. Japan imports almost all its energy.
All kinds of investments, from bonds to bitcoin, have tumbled this year as high inflation forces central banks to try to slow inflation that has flared as economies recover from disruptions of the pandemic. The war in Ukraine has added to those price pressures.
Powell said Wednesday the Fed is moving “expeditiously” to get rates closer to normal levels after last week’s stunning report that showed inflation at the consumer level unexpectedly accelerated last month, dashing hopes that inflation may have already peaked.
However, Powell, also hinted that rate increases later this year may be smaller. That appeared to assuage fears the central bank might overshoot its goal of cooling inflation and tip the economy into a downturn.
The Fed is “not trying to induce a recession now, let’s be clear about that,” Powell said. He called Wednesday’s big increase “front-end loading.”
Even without recession, higher interest rates hurt prices for investments. The hardest-hit have been those that soared the most in the easy-money era of ultralow interest rates, including high-growth technology stocks and cryptocurrencies.
The war in Ukraine has helped send prices for oil soaring because the region is a major producer of energy.
In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude dropped 83 cents to $114.48 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It shed $3.62 on Wednesday to $115.31 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, gave up $1.01 to $117.50 a barrel.
By YURI KAGEYAMA Business Writer
Yuri Kageyama is on Twitter https://twitter.com/yurikageyama
